CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 67% e llogarive të investitorëve mund të humbasin paratë kur tregtojnë me kontrata CFD. Duhet të merrni në konsideratë nëse mund të përballoni rrezikun e humbjes së parave tuaja.
CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 75% e llogarive të klientëve me pakicë humbasin para kur bëjnë tregti me CFD. Duhet të merrni parasysh nëse e kuptoni se si fuknsionojnë CFD-të dhe nëse e përballoni dot rrezikun e lartë të humbjes së të gjithë kapitalit që keni investuar.

Crude Oil

Raporte Speciale - 24/12/2024

24 Dhjetor, 2024

Shembulli më poshtë përdor Kontratat për Ndryshim (CFD). Llogaritë janë vetëm për çmimin e instrumenteve specifike për datën e përmendur më poshtë, dhe llogaritë tregojnë rast të mundshëm për fitim apo humbje. Nuk ka garanci për saktësinë apo plotësinë e këtyre informacioneve, dhe çdo person që vepron sipas tyre, e bën këtë tërësisht në rrezik të vet.

Crude Oil weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

TECHNICAL REVIEW:

  • CRUDE OIL PRICES HAVE TESTED THE MARK OF $70 (OR NEAR) 13 TIMES SINCE 2021. This is the 14th time that Crude Oil prices are testing levels near the mark of $70.

GRAPH (Weekly): July 2021 – December 2024

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • 2021- 2024 STATISTICS: CRUDE OIL TENDS TO RECOVER BY AROUND 15% AFTER TESTING THE MARK OF $70 OR NEAR IT.

DATA SOURCE: Fortrade MetaTrader 4

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

FUNDAMENTAL REVIEW: DEMAND EXPECTED TO RISE AND POSSIBLY EXCEED SUPPLY IN Q1 OF 2025:

  • DEMAND SIDE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DUE TO ADDITIONAL ECONOMIC STIMULUS IN CHINA, SUPPORTING CHINA OIL CONSUMPTION AND OIL IMPORTS. China remained to be the largest oil importer in the world and the second largest oil conumser in the world after the US economy. According to Reuters, China will issue a record 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds in 2025 to bolster its economy, in addition to more than 400 billion dollars of previous monetary and fiscal measures already announced earlier in 2024.

  • SUPPLY SIDE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY IN Q1 OF 2025. On December 5, OPEC+, which controls almost 50% of global oil markets, agreed to extend current cuts (around 5.7 million barrels a day) by April 2025, meaning that their oil output would remain unchanged in Q1 of 2025.

  • DEMAND-SUPPLY RELATIONSHIP (Q1 2025): With limited supply changes and expectations for rising oil demand in Q1 (driven by China), the markets could develop fears of a possible deficit, which tends to be positive for oil prices.

GEOPOLITICS:

  • EVENT (AFTER JANUARY 20, 2025): US PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE PRESSURE ON IRAN AFTER HE TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025. President Trump is expected to impose new sanctions on Iranian oil, to slash Iranian oil exports to a minimum from the current near 1.6 million barrels a day.

ANALYST OPINION:

  • BANKS: Morgan Stanley forecasts a range between $77-$80; Goldman Sachs forecasts a range between $74.5-$77.5; JPMorgan forecasts a range between $77-$80; UBS forecasts a range between $77-$80.

Crude Oil, December 24, 2024
Current Price: 69.40

Crude Oil

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

80

Resistance 2

77

Resistance 1

73

Support 1

66

Support 2

65

Support 3

64

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Crude Oil

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

10,600

7,600

3,600

-3,400

-4,400

-5,400

Profit or loss in €2

10,197

7,311

3,463

-3,271

-4,233

-5,194

Profit or loss in £2

8,458

6,064

2,873

-2,713

-3,511

-4,309

Profit or loss in C$2

15,256

10,938

5,181

-4,893

-6,333

-7,772

  1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
  2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT) 24/12/2024

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.

  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning   Privacy policy
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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