CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 66% e llogarive të investitorëve mund të humbasin paratë kur tregtojnë me kontrata CFD. Duhet të merrni në konsideratë nëse mund të përballoni rrezikun e humbjes së parave tuaja.
CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 70.91% e llogarive të klientëve me pakicë humbasin para kur bëjnë tregti me CFD. Duhet të merrni parasysh nëse e kuptoni se si fuknsionojnë CFD-të dhe nëse e përballoni dot rrezikun e lartë të humbjes së të gjithë kapitalit që keni investuar.

Crude Oil

Raporte Speciale - 10/04/2025

10 Prill, 2025

Shembulli më poshtë përdor Kontratat për Ndryshim (CFD). Llogaritë janë vetëm për çmimin e instrumenteve specifike për datën e përmendur më poshtë, dhe llogaritë tregojnë rast të mundshëm për fitim apo humbje. Nuk ka garanci për saktësinë apo plotësinë e këtyre informacioneve, dhe çdo person që vepron sipas tyre, e bën këtë tërësisht në rrezik të vet.

Crude Oil weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

  • CRUDE OIL PRICE HIT ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE FEBRUARY 2021 ($55.115): Crude oil prices have fallen to their lowest in more than four years to hit the level of 55.115 on April 9.
  • LONG-TERM SUPPORT AREA BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL MARK OF $60: Crude oil price has recently tested levels below $60, which has been acting as a support area since early 2021.

GRAPH (Daily): February 2021 – April 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

OIL PRICE ANALYSIS (DRILLING NEW WELLS): U.S.A.

  • LARGE FIRM PRODUCERS (ABOVE 10,000 barrels a day) NEED AN AVERAGE OF $58 A BARREL MARKET PRICE TO PROFITABLY DRILL. This is the average price of oil for larger (firm) oil producers to be profitable drilling new oil wells.
  • SMALL FIRM PRODUCERS (LESS THAN 10,000 barrels a day) NEED AN AVERAGE OF $67 A BARREL MARKET PRICE TO PROFITABLY DRILL. This is the average price of oil for smaller (firm) oil producers to be profitable drilling new oil wells.
  • AVERAGE BREAKEVEN PRICE ACROSS REGIONS (FOR NEW WELL DRILLING): $59 - $70. This is the average price range of oil across various regions in the US for firms to be profitable drilling new oil wells.

Source: dallasfed.org

GEOPOLITICS:

  • BREAKING (APRIL 9): US PRESIDENT TRUMP SUSPENDED RECIPROCAL TARIFFS ON THE REST OF THE WORLD BY 90 DAYS. For the next 90 days, the US will charge countries that are part of the reciprocal tariff plan only 10%, compared to the range of up to 84% previously planned, as it gives time and space other countries to begin and reach new trade deals with the USA. More than 70 countries have already contacted the US administration to begin talks soon. This has significantly reduced global recession fears.
  • MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RISE AS US TRUMP’S “ULTIMATUM” TO IRAN APPROACHES ITS DEADLINE (Early to Mid- May). According to Reuters, President Trump's letter to Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei included a two-month deadline (until early to mid-May) for reaching a new nuclear deal. In addition, Trump threatened bombing Iran if Iran do not make a deal on nuclear program. These developments increased chances for a potential military action in the Middle East, rich in oil, and responsible for 20% to 30% of total global supply.

EVENTS (OIL):

  • MONDAY, APRIL 14 AT 12:40 GMT+1: OPEC OIL MONTHLY REPORT. The report is expected to include the OPEC’s demand and supply outlook for global oil markets in 2025. It could create volatility in oil prices, if OPEC announces changes in their global oil demand and supply estimates for the coming period in 2025.
  • TUESDAY, APRIL 15 AT 09:00 GMT+1: INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY (IEA) OIL MONTHLY REPORT. The report is expected to include the agency’s demand and supply outlook for global oil markets in 2025.
  • TUESDAY, APRIL 15 AT 21:30 GMT+1: AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE (API) WEEKLY OIL INVENTORY DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the oil price could be expected.
  • WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16 AT 15:30 GMT+1: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION (EIA) WEEKLY OIL INVENTORY DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the oil price could be expected.

Crude Oil, April 10, 2025
Current Price: 60.50

Crude Oil

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

75

Resistance 2

70

Resistance 1

65

Support 1

56

Support 2

55

Support 3

54

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Crude Oil

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

14,500

9,500

4,500

-4,500

-5,500

-6,500

Profit or loss in €²

13,128

8,601

4,074

-4,074

-4,980

-5,885

Profit or loss in £²

11,264

7,380

3,496

-3,496

-4,273

-5,049

Profit or loss in C$²

20,415

13,375

6,336

-6,336

-7,743

-9,151

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:00 (GMT+1) 10/04/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
  • Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.91% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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