CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 67% e llogarive të investitorëve mund të humbasin paratë kur tregtojnë me kontrata CFD. Duhet të merrni në konsideratë nëse mund të përballoni rrezikun e humbjes së parave tuaja.
CFD-të janë instrumente komplekse dhe vijnë me një rrezik të lartë të humbjes së parave për shkak të levave. 73.43% e llogarive të klientëve me pakicë humbasin para kur bëjnë tregti me CFD. Duhet të merrni parasysh nëse e kuptoni se si fuknsionojnë CFD-të dhe nëse e përballoni dot rrezikun e lartë të humbjes së të gjithë kapitalit që keni investuar.

Gold

Raporte Speciale - 22/01/2025

22 Janar, 2025

Shembulli më poshtë përdor Kontratat për Ndryshim (CFD). Llogaritë janë vetëm për çmimin e instrumenteve specifike për datën e përmendur më poshtë, dhe llogaritë tregojnë rast të mundshëm për fitim apo humbje. Nuk ka garanci për saktësinë apo plotësinë e këtyre informacioneve, dhe çdo person që vepron sipas tyre, e bën këtë tërësisht në rrezik të vet.

GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT- ELECT DONALD TRUMP TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025

  • US PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE PRESSURE ON IRAN AFTER HE TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025. Earlier reports would also suggest that Trump could allow the US army to conduct airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities as fears and concerns have grown that Iran is approaching capacity to produce a nuclear weapon. This could see a surge in Middle East tensions, which could, on the other hand, increase demand for the safe- haven Gold.
  • TRADE WAR: President Trump has on several occasions said that he will increase tariffs on countries that have trade surpluses with the US, including Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union. This will increase global economic uncertainties, which in turn, could increase demand for the safe- haven Gold. His final decision on new tariffs will come on February 1st.
  • STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 10.85% DURING TRUMP’S FIRST YEAR OF PRESIDENCY (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, Gold rose 55.38% during the entire first presidential term of Donald Trump (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GEOPOLITICS

  • DAVOS WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM TO TAKE PLACE FROM JANUARY 20th to 24th. The forum begins on Monday, January 20 until Friday, January 24. The Davos event will attract more than 3,000 business and political leaders. They will include 900 company chairs and chief executives along with 60 heads of state. It takes place each year in January in Davos, Switzerland.
  • US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO GIVE A SPEECH IN DAVOS ON JANUARY 23rd. The markets are likely to respond to any hints of Trump’s future policies. If his speech is filled with uncertainties and hostilities gold price will be supported. On average the price of gold has risen around 2% each time Trump held a speech in Davos.

EVENTS:

  • THURSDAY, JANUARY 23, AT 13:30 GMT: U.S. INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: A higher than expected number is supportive for gold, while it increases the odds of an interest rate cut for the FED. This measures the number of individuals who have filed for unemployment insurance in the past week. The expected number is 221K unemployment filings.
  • FRIDAY, JANUARY 24, AT 14:45 GMT: U.S. MANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX (PMI): If the index comes below 50 it signals a contraction in the manufacturing sector, which increases the odds of an interest rate cut from the FED. This index measures the level of activity of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. The forecasted index is 48.3.
  • FRIDAY, JANUARY 24, AT 15:00 GMT: U.S. MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT: A lower than expected reading should be supportive for gold, because it increases the odds of an interest rate cut by the FED. The forecasted number is 73.2.
  • WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 29, AT 19:00 GMT: FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: As of January 16, the FED is projecting high chances rates will remain unchanged at the current 4.50%. Currently the FED is expecting two rate cuts in 2025.

ANALYSTS’ OPINION:

Bank

Price target

Goldman Sachs

$3,000

UBS

$2,900

CITIGROUP

$3000

BANK OF AMERICA

$3000

GOLD, January 22, 2025
Current Price: 2750

GOLD

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

3000

Resistance 2

2900

Resistance 1

2800

Support 1

2700

Support 2

2675

Support 3

2650

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

25,000

15,000

5,000

-5,000

-7,500

-10,000

Profit or loss in €2

23,988

14,393

4,798

-4,798

-7,196

-9,595

Profit or loss in £2

20,277

12,166

4,055

-4,055

-6,083

-8,111

Profit or loss in C$2

35,962

21,577

7,192

-7,192

-10,789

-14,385

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:15 (GMT) 22/01/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.43% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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