Chinese Stock Basket Weekly Uptrend Opportunity based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:
Company |
Ticker |
Sectors |
Earnings Date (Q4) |
Time |
Alibaba |
#ALIBABA |
E-Commerce |
PASSED |
|
Nio |
#NIO |
Electric Vehicle Manufacturer |
March 24 |
Aftermarket |
XPENG |
#XPENG |
Electric Vehicle Manufacturer |
March 28 |
Premarket |
Baidu |
#BAIDU |
Search Engine and Online Advertising |
PASSED |
|
|
|
Social Media and Online Advertising |
PASSED |
|
Source: Bloomberg
-
Central Government Promised to Support the Stock and Capital Markets in China. The Central Government will provide market-friendly policies and keep the capital market running smoothly, something that can come in the form stimulus.
-
Central Government to Support China Stocks That Trade on Foreign Stock Exchanges. China’s Vice Premier Liu He said that they are having positive talks with the US SEC, trying to overcome issues, reducing the risk of delisting.
-
Central Government Clarified That Will Soon End Regulation (Crackdown) of Big Tech Industry. Meanwhile, the Central Government said that all the efforts to regulate the Big Tech industry in China will soon be over, meaning that the uncertainties and risks related to it will be eliminated.
Company |
Ticker |
All- Time High |
Price Recovery Needed To Meet Recent All Time High |
Alibaba |
#ALIBABA |
$319.39 |
175.33% |
Nio |
#NIO |
$66.85 |
203.86% |
XPENG |
#XPENG |
$74.49 |
156.86% |
Baidu |
#BAIDU |
$354.82 |
130.47% |
|
|
$142.12 |
446.4% |
Source: Bloomberg
STOCK PRICE REACTION: BASED ON STATISTICAL ANALYSIS (PAST 8 QUARTERS)1
Downside potential |
Upside Potential |
-19.53% |
+30.44% |
Potential Profit/Loss on 1 lot of every stock in the basket2 |
|
-$63,355 |
$98,747 |
-€57,704 |
€89,939 |
-£48,063 |
£74,913 |
-C$79,661 |
C$124,162 |
Data Source on Stock Returns and Volatility: Bloomberg
TARGET LEVELS: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Company |
Support |
Current Price |
Resistance |
Alibaba |
$93 |
$116 |
$151 |
Nio |
$18 |
$22 |
$29 |
XPENG |
$23 |
$29 |
$38 |
Baidu |
$124 |
$154 |
$201 |
|
$21 |
$26 |
$34 |
Note: Support and Resistance Levels have been calculated by using upside and downside potential figures.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
1-Calculation Downside/Upside Potential: Average price reaction for all five stocks from 5 trading sessions prior to the earnings date release for the last 8 quarterly earnings releases.
2- Profit/Loss Calculation (**): Based on 1 lot (*) on each of the five stocks (5 lots). Range: based on the statistical analysis.
-
Alibaba, Nio, and Weibo.: 1.00 lot is equivalent to 1000 units. XPENG.: 1.00 lot is equivalent to 5000 units. Baidu.: 1.00 lot is equivalent to 100 units.
-
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:30 (GMT) 24/03/2022.
Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Client Manager regarding their use.
-
You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
-
Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Client Manager for more detail.