ALPHABET(#GOOGLE) weekly special report based On 1 Lot Calculation:
WEB SEARCH INDUSTRY:
- ALMOST 90% OF ALL INTERNET SEARCHES ARE PERFORMED ON GOOGLE. Other companies that can compete with Google are BING, DuckDuckGo etc.
ONLINE ADVERTISING:
- MARKET SIZE: $232.7 BILLION IN 2023 AND EXPECTED TO GROW TO $538.2 BILLION IN 2032. The global internet advertising market size was valued at more than $232.7 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $538.2 billion by 2032, registering an average growth of 15.7% from 2023 to 2030.
- MARKET SHARE IN THE U.S.: Alphabet (Google) at 26.8%, META (Facebook) at 21.1%, Amazon at 12.5%, and the rest at 39.6%.
GOOGLE:
- THE COMPANY: Alphabet (Google) is the fourth largest company by market capitalization in the world, worth around $1.900 trillion dollars.
- GOOGLE stock belongs to the two most important US stock indices including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index and S&P 500 (USA500) index.
- STRONG POSITIVE REVENUE TREND (22% AVERAGE GROWTH RATE PER ANNUM FOR THE PAST FIVE YEARS): The company’s revenue grew by around 22% on average per year over the past five years.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.
GOOGLE: EVENTS
- EVENT (THURSDAY, APRIL 24, AFTERMARKET): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. Google is expected to print $89.15 billion in revenue, up around 11% from the same period last year ($80.54 billion). The company is expected to print earnings per share (EPS) of $2, up 4.7% from the same period last year ($1.91) (Source: Yahoo Finance).
- REVENUE AND EARNINGS PERFORMANCE (LAST 8 QUARTERS): GOOGLE TENDS TO BEAT ESTIMATES. The company has beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters, while its revenue has managed to beat estimates 6 times over the past 8 quarters.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOOGLE: WILL THE COMPANY REMAIN IMMUNE TO TRUMP’S TARIFFS AND TRADE WAR?
- GOOGLE IS NOT EXPECTED TO FACE ANY DIRECT TARIFFS FOR ITS SERVICES: Trump’s recent tariffs are not expected to target Google services, as the tariffs seem to be targeting only goods imported to the USA. To this end, Google could see potential benefits as it will not have to change prices of its services, which, in turn, could continue to see a steady increase in growth.
GOOGLE: PRICE ACTIONS
- GOOGLE HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $208.43 ON FEBRUARY 4, 2025. The Google’s stock price was last trading around $155 and if a full recovery to most recent all-time highs ($208.43) takes place, it could provide an upside of around 34%. Although, the stock price could decline as well.
- ANALYST OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $184, JPMorgan forecasts $180, Baird forecasts $190, TD Cowen forecasts $195
#GOOGLE, APRIL 17, 2025
Current Price: 155
|
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
208 |
|
190 |
|
175 |
|
140 |
|
135 |
|
130 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
5,300 |
3,500 |
2,000 |
-1,500 |
-2,000 |
-2,500 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
4,659 |
3,077 |
1,758 |
-1,319 |
-1,758 |
-2,198 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
4,003 |
2,644 |
1,511 |
-1,133 |
-1,511 |
-1,888 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
7,360 |
4,860 |
2,777 |
-2,083 |
-2,777 |
-3,472 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:45 (GMT+1) 17/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.