CFDs се комплексни инструменти и содржат висок ризик од брзо губење пари поради левериџ. 67% од ритеил инвеститорите губат пари кога тргуваат со CFDs со овој провајдер. Треба да размислите дали можете да си дозволите да преземете висок ризик од губење на вашите пари.
ЦФД (CFD) се комплексни инструменти и носат висок ризик од брзо губење пари како резултат на левериџ. 73.43% од сметките на клиентите-физички лица губат пари кога тргуваат со CFD. Потребно е да размислите околу сфаќањето на начинот на кој функционираат таквите договори и дали може да си дозволите да го преземете високиот ризик од губење на целиот ваш инвестиран капитал.
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Gold

Специјални извештаи - 03/01/2025

03 јануари, 2025

Наведениот пример користи Договори за разлика (CFD). Калкулациите се применуваат само за цените на одредени инструменти за наведениот датум и калкулациите претставуваат можна прилика за добивка или загуба. Нема гаранции за прецизноста и потполноста на овие информации, значи, секое лице кое доносува одлука според тие информации, тоа го прави целосно на сопствен ризик.

GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT- ELECT DONALD TRUMP TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025

  • US PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE PRESSURE ON IRAN AFTER HE TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025. Earlier reports would also suggest that Trump could allow the US army to conduct airstrikes on Irania nuclear facilities as fears and concerns have grown that Iran is approaching capacity to produce a nuclear weapon. This could see a surge in Middle East tensions, which could, on the other hand, increase demand for the safe- haven Gold.
  • TRADE WAR: President Trump has on several occasions said that he will increase tariffs on countries that have trade surpluses with the US, including Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union. This will increase global economic uncertainties, which in turn, could increase demand for the safe- haven Gold.
  • STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 10.85% DURING TRUMP’S FIRST YEAR OF PRESIDENCY (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, Gold rose 55.38% during the entire first presidential term of Donald Trump (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

EVENTS:

  • FRIDAY, JANUARY 10 AT 13:30 GMT: US NONFARM PAYROLL (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (DECEMBER). US Unemployment Rate has remained high, and above the mark of 4%, coming at 4.2% in November. This will keep the US Fed attentive and more inclined towards further interest rate cuts in 2025.
  • FRIDAY, JANUARY 15, AT 13:30 GMT: U.S INFLATION (CPI) (DECEMBER): The CPI inflation data from the last month of November came out at 2.6%, up from the 2.3% in November. If it comes below the recent 2.6%, then Gold could be expected to rise in value.

US FEDERAL RESERVE HAS BEGUN YET ANOTHER INTEREST RATE CUT CYCLE:

  • BREAKING (DECEMBER 18, 2024): FEDERAL RESERVE ANNOUNCED ITS THIRD INTEREST RATE CUT IN 2024 TO 4.50%, DOWN FROM INITIAL 5.50%. The US Federal Reserve decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.50% points in September, 0.25% points in November and by another 0.25% points in December. The bank expects to cut rates at least two more times in 2026 to slash its benchmark rate to 4% by the end of 2025. The bank expects rates to fall to 3.4% in 2026 and further down to 3.1% in 2027.
  • NEXT FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: January 29, 2025 at 19:00 GMT. As of January 3, the market sees high chances rates to remain unchanged at the current 4.50%.

TECHNICAL REVIEW

  • STRONG SUPPORT AT $2,600 IN PLACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2024. Gold has tested the mark of $2,600 five times since September 2024.

Graph (Daily): September 2024 – January 2025

  • STATISTICS: GOLD TENDS TO RECOVER BY AROUND 128 DOLLARS AFTER TESTING THE SUPPORT OF $2,600.

Data Source: MetaTrader4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GOLD, January 3, 2025
Current Price: 2650

GOLD

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

3000

Resistance 2

2900

Resistance 1

2700

Support 1

2610

Support 2

2600

Support 3

2590

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

35,000

25,000

5,000

-4,000

-5,000

-6,000

Profit or loss in €2

34,037

24,312

4,862

-3,890

-4,862

-5,835

Profit or loss in £2

28,229

20,163

4,033

-3,226

-4,033

-4,839

Profit or loss in C$2

50,369

35,978

7,196

-5,756

-7,196

-8,635

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:10 (GMT) 01/03/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

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Risk warning   Privacy policy
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.43% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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