CFDs се комплексни инструменти и содржат висок ризик од брзо губење пари поради левериџ. 67% од ритеил инвеститорите губат пари кога тргуваат со CFDs со овој провајдер. Треба да размислите дали можете да си дозволите да преземете висок ризик од губење на вашите пари.
ЦФД (CFD) се комплексни инструменти и носат висок ризик од брзо губење пари како резултат на левериџ. 73.43% од сметките на клиентите-физички лица губат пари кога тргуваат со CFD. Потребно е да размислите околу сфаќањето на начинот на кој функционираат таквите договори и дали може да си дозволите да го преземете високиот ризик од губење на целиот ваш инвестиран капитал.
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Gold

Специјални извештаи - 16/01/2025

16 јануари, 2025

Наведениот пример користи Договори за разлика (CFD). Калкулациите се применуваат само за цените на одредени инструменти за наведениот датум и калкулациите претставуваат можна прилика за добивка или загуба. Нема гаранции за прецизноста и потполноста на овие информации, значи, секое лице кое доносува одлука според тие информации, тоа го прави целосно на сопствен ризик.

GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT- ELECT DONALD TRUMP TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025

  • US PRESIDENT-ELECT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE PRESSURE ON IRAN AFTER HE TAKES OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025. Earlier reports would also suggest that Trump could allow the US army to conduct airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities as fears and concerns have grown that Iran is approaching capacity to produce a nuclear weapon. This could see a surge in Middle East tensions, which could, on the other hand, increase demand for the safe-haven Gold.
  • TRADE WAR: President Trump has said on several occasions that he will increase tariffs on countries that have trade surpluses with the US, including Canada, Mexico, China, and the European Union. This will increase global economic uncertainties, which in turn could increase demand for the safe-haven Gold.
  • STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 10.85% DURING TRUMP’S FIRST YEAR OF PRESIDENCY (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, Gold rose 55.38% during the entire first presidential term of Donald Trump (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GEOPOLITICS

  • DAVOS WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM TO TAKE PLACE FROM JANUARY 20th TO 24th. The forum begins on Monday, January 20, and runs until Friday, January 24. The Davos event will attract more than 3,000 business and political leaders. They will include 900 company chairs and chief executives along with 60 heads of state. It takes place each year in January in Davos, Switzerland.
  • US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO GIVE A SPEECH IN DAVOS ON JANUARY 23rd. The markets are likely to respond to any hints of Trump’s future policies. If his speech is filled with uncertainties and hostilities, gold price will be supported.

CENTRAL BANKS:

  • REPORT: CHINA CONTINUED BUYING GOLD IN DECEMBER 2024. China added gold for a second straight month as it bought 10 tons (or 0.33 million ounces) of gold in December, which took its gold reserves from 72.96 million ounces in November to 73.29 million ounces. This after it bought 0.16 million ounces (5 tons) of gold in November.

EVENTS:

  • THURSDAY, JANUARY 16, AT 13:30 GMT: U.S. RETAIL SALES (DECEMBER): Retail sales point to the current condition of the economy as well as the overall market sentiment. If the overall sentiment and consumption are falling or stagnating, it can signal stronger interest rate cuts, which is supportive for gold.
  • THURSDAY, JANUARY 16, AT 13:30 GMT: U.S. PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (DECEMBER): A level below zero indicates shrinking economic activity, which increases the chance of a FED interest rate cut. This index rates the relative level of general business conditions in Philadelphia.
  • FRIDAY, JANUARY 24, AT 14:45 GMT: U.S. MANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX (PMI): If the index comes below 50, it signals a contraction in the manufacturing sector, which increases the odds of an interest rate cut from the FED. This index measures the level of activity of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector.
  • WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 29, AT 19:00 GMT: FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: As of January 16, the FED is projecting high chances rates will remain unchanged at the current 4.50%. Currently the FED is expecting two rate cuts in 2025.

ANALYSTS’ OPINION:

Bank

Price target

Goldman Sachs

$3,000

UBS

$2,900

CITIGROUP

$3000

BANK OF AMERICA

$3000

GOLD, January 16, 2025
Current Price: 2700

GOLD

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

3000

Resistance 2

2900

Resistance 1

2760

Support 1

2650

Support 2

2625

Support 3

2600

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

30,000

20,000

6,000

-5,000

-8,000

-10,000

Profit or loss in €2

29,154

19,436

5,831

-4,859

-7,774

-9,718

Profit or loss in £2

24,581

16,387

4,916

-4,097

-6,555

-8,194

Profit or loss in C$2

43,123

28,749

8,625

-7,187

-11,500

-14,374

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:20 (GMT) 01/16/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Risk warning   Privacy policy
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.43% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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