GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: US – CHINA TRADE WAR
- FRIDAY, APRIL 11: CHINA RETALIATES AGAIN, RAISING TARIFFS ON US GOODS TO 125%: China has raised tariffs once again, now to 125%, up from 84%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9: US RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS TO 125%: The tariffs on China have been raised to 125%, up from the previous 104%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9: CHINA RETALIATES, RAISING TARIFFS ON US GOODS TO 84%. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, retaliating against Trump’s tariff increase on China to 104%.
- TUESDAY, APRIL 8: US RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS TO 104%.
- FRIDAY, APRIL 4: CHINA RETALIATES, RAISING TARIFFS ON US GOODS TO 34%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 2: US RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS TO 54%.
US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND GOLD DURING TRUMP’S FIRST PRESIDENCY
- STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 10.85% DURING TRUMP’S FIRST YEAR OF PRESIDENCY (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, Gold rose 55.38% during the entire first presidential term of Donald Trump (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021).
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
ANALYSTS’ OPINION:
- DEUTSCHE BANK RAISED ITS GOLD PRICE TARGET TO $3,350 (Q4, 2025) and $3,700 (2026).
- GOLDMAN SACHS RAISED GOLD PRICE TARGET TO $3,300, WITH A TARGET RANGE OF $3,250 AND $3,520. UNDER EXTREME SCENARIOS, GOLD COULD RISE TO $4,200 BY THE END OF 2025. However, it could also move in the opposite direction.
- BANK OF AMERICA RAISED ITS PRICE TARGET AT $3,350. IF INVESTMENT DEMAND RISES JUST 10%, GOLD COULD RISE TO $3,500. However, it could also move in the opposite direction.
- MORGAN STANLEY SET A GOLD PRICE TARGET AT $3,400.
Source: Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, APRIL 11, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) (MARCH): A lower-than-expected rating could be supportive for gold, because is expected that the Fed will find it easier to cut interest rates. This index measures the change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers. This index was 3.2% last month which was lower than the expected 3.3%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (MARCH): A lower-than-expected rating could be considered positive for gold, because it could point to future rate cuts by the FED. This data measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The results for last month stood at 3.10%, which was below results for the month before 4.20%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16, AT 18:15 GMT+1: FED CHAIRMAN JEROME POWELL SPEAKS: The chairman of the FED will hold a press conference at the Economic Club of Chicago concerning the topic of the Economic Outlook.
GOLD, April 11, 2025
Current Price: 3,220
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
3,500 |
|
|
3,400 |
|
|
3,300 |
|
|
3,150 |
|
|
3,125 |
|
|
3,100 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
28,000 |
18,000 |
8,000 |
-7,000 |
-9,500 |
-12,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
25,351 |
16,297 |
7,243 |
-6,338 |
-8,601 |
-10,865 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
21,752 |
13,983 |
6,215 |
-5,438 |
-7,380 |
-9,322 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
39,421 |
25,342 |
11,263 |
-9,855 |
-13,375 |
-16,895 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:08 (GMT+1) 11/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.