CFDs се комплексни инструменти и содржат висок ризик од брзо губење пари поради левериџ. 73% од ритеил инвеститорите губат пари кога тргуваат со CFDs со овој провајдер. Треба да размислите дали можете да си дозволите да преземете висок ризик од губење на вашите пари.
ЦФД (CFD) се комплексни инструменти и носат висок ризик од брзо губење пари како резултат на левериџ. 76% од сметките на клиентите-физички лица губат пари кога тргуваат со CFD. Потребно е да размислите околу сфаќањето на начинот на кој функционираат таквите договори и дали може да си дозволите да го преземете високиот ризик од губење на целиот ваш инвестиран капитал.
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Natural Gas

Специјални извештаи - 16/07/2024

16 јули, 2024

Наведениот пример користи Договори за разлика (CFD). Калкулациите се применуваат само за цените на одредени инструменти за наведениот датум и калкулациите претставуваат можна прилика за добивка или загуба. Нема гаранции за прецизноста и потполноста на овие информации, значи, секое лице кое доносува одлука според тие информации, тоа го прави целосно на сопствен ризик.

Natural Gas weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

US NATURAL GAS

  • Natural Gas is one of the cleanest among the types of fosil fuel, which increases its demand in times when climate changes happen.
  • US ELECTRICTY PRODUCTION: The US Government projected power demand will rise to 4,103 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2024 and 4,159 billion kWh in 2025. That compares with 4,000 billion kWh in 2023 and a record 4,067 billion kWh in 2022.
  • AROUND 40% OF ELECTRICITY IN THE U.S. IS PRODUCED FROM NATURAL GAS: Rising consumtion of electricity in the US will be accompanied by rising demand for natural gas. As hot temperatures strike the US, households and companies can be expected to increase usage of air conditioning. This in turn increases demand for electricity, which drags up natural gas consumption, on the other hand.

NATURAL GAS SEASONAL BEHAVIOUR:

  • SEASONAL EFFECTS HISTORICALLY IMPACT NATURAL GAS PRICES WITH AN AVERAGE INCREASE OF 46.42% FROM JULY LOWS TO OCTOBER HIGHS (2016-2023): As shown by the table below, Natural Gas usually goes up between July and October. The move fundamentally could be explained by rising natural gas demand during hot months (air conditioning) like July and August and fears over natural gas shortages ahead of the winter season that starts in October.

DATA SOURCE: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

EVENTS:

  • THURSDAY (JULY 18) AT 15:30 GMT+1: US WEEKLY NATURAL GAS STORAGE DATA (US GOVERNMENT). Analysts expect to see an increase in the US oil inventories for the past week, but at a slower pace due to ongoing hot weather in the US. If the inventories rise at a pace slower than expected, this could then support positively the natural gas prices.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

  • NATURAL GAS HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN TEN WEEKS ($2.144)
  • NATURAL GAS HAS TESTED THE LEVEL OF $2 (OR NEAR) SEVEN TIMES SINCE 2000.
  • AFTER TESTING $2 (OR NEAR), NATURAL GAS WOULD BOUNCE BACK TOWARDS AT LEAST $3.

TECHNICAL REVIEW: The price has fallen to its traditional bottom of around 2.00. The bottom near 2 has been tested only seven times since November 2000. AVERAGE: on average, Natural Gas trades this low every 3-4 years.

Monthly Graph: November 2000 – July 2024

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

Natural Gas, July 16, 2024
Current Price: 2.160

Natural Gas

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

4.000

Resistance 2

3.000

Resistance 1

2.500

Support 1

1.900

Support 2

1.850

Support 3

1.800

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Natural Gas

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

18,400

8,400

3,400

-2,600

-3,100

-3,600

Profit or loss in €2

16,889

7,710

3,121

-2,387

-2,845

-3,304

Profit or loss in £2

14,197

6,481

2,623

-2,006

-2,392

-2,778

Profit or loss in C$2

25,175

11,493

4,652

-3,557

-4,241

-4,925

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:30 (GMT+1) 16/07/2024

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.
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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You can lose all the balance of your trading account, but not more than that, due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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