Natural Gas weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
EUROPE COULD START SOON IMPORTING BIG QUANTITIES OF NATURAL GAS
- EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS STORAGE REFILLING SEASON STARTS MARCH- APRIL AND ENDS IN NOVEMBER.
- MANDATE: EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS STORAGE MUST BE FULL AT LEAST 90% BY NOVEMBER
- CURRENT: AT AROUND 36%, AND 22.7% BELOW ITS 5-YEAR AVERAGE.
- EUROPE IMPORTING BIG QUANTITIES OF LIQUID NATURAL GAS (LNG) FROM THE USA: The US supplies 50% of Europe's total LNG imports.
- 70% OF TOTAL U.S. LNG EXPORTS WENT TO EUROPE IN MARCH 2024: In March, Europe accounted for 70% of total exports, importing 6.47 million tons out of a total of 9.24 million.
- EUROPE MUST INCREASE IMPORTS FROM THE USA OR FACE TARIFFS, ACCORDING TO US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP.
- STATISTICS (2016 - 2024): NATURAL GAS PRICES ROSE 47.80% ON AVERAGE DURING THE EUROPEAN REFILLING SEASON (MARCH – NOVEMBER)
Data Source: Meta Trader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS
- THURSDAY, APRIL 24 AT 15:30 GMT+1: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION (EIA) WEEKLY NATURAL GAS STORAGE (INVENTORY) DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the natural gas price could be expected.
NATURAL GAS: PRICE ACTION
- NATURAL GAS PRICES HIT $9.972 IN AUGUST 2022. Natural gas prices have surged amid Europe’s ongoing energy crisis, driven by reduced Russian supply that prompted increased LNG imports from the United States. Although prices have recently dipped due to negative market sentiment following President Trump’s tariffs on key trading partners, demand for American gas remains robust. A price recovery to $9.972 would mark an around 214% rise from the current $3.18, though prices could also decline.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- NATURAL GAS PRICES HAVE TESTED THEIR LOWEST LEVELS SINCE JANUARY 31, 2025 ($3.092). Natural Gas prices have recently retreated towards their psychological support of $3, after first hitting levels near $5 in early March, 2025.
- STRONG SUPPORT AT $3: NATURAL GAS PRICES HAVE MAINTAINED STRONG SUPPORT OF $3 SINCE NOVEMBER 2024. Natural gas has three times tested the mark of $3 since November 2024, and this could be the fourth time in total being tested in over 4 months.
GRAPH (Daily): November 2024 – April 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Natural Gas, April 23, 2025
Current Price: 3.13
NATURAL GAS |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
5.00 |
|
4.30 |
|
3.60 |
|
2.70 |
|
2.60 |
|
2.50 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
NATURAL GAS |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
18,700 |
11,700 |
4,700 |
-4,300 |
-5,300 |
-6,300 |
Profit or loss in €² |
16,393 |
10,257 |
4,120 |
-3,770 |
-4,646 |
-5,523 |
Profit or loss in £² |
14,065 |
8,800 |
3,535 |
-3,234 |
-3,986 |
-4,739 |
Profit or loss in C$² |
25,868 |
16,184 |
6,501 |
-5,948 |
-7,331 |
-8,715 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:15 (GMT+1) 23/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.