NETFLIX (#NFLX) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
NETFLIX: THE COMPANY
- NETFLIX is one of the world's leading streaming services, with over 280 million paid subscribers in over 190 countries. In the last 2 years the company made a number of impactful changes and moves, like an increase in third-party licensing, a new ad plan membership, and success in cracking down on password-sharing issues. Despite facing increasing competition from platforms like Disney+, HBO Max, and Amazon Prime Video, Netflix continues to lead in total minutes watched, surpassing other services.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Netflix stock is a part of the NASDAQ 100 (USA 100) index, and S&P500 (USA500).
NETFLIX: UPCOMING EVENTS
- EVENT (TUESDAY, JANUARY 21, AFTERMARKET): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. NETFLIX expects to publish $10.12B in revenues, up 15% from the same period last year ($8.83B). The company is expected to release $1.83 B in Net Income up 62% from the same period last year ($1.127B). According to the company's statement, starting in 2025, Netflix will no longer report subscriber numbers and will instead focus on financial metrics. As a result, the Q4 results will be the last to include subscriber data.
- SUBSCRIPTION: Netflix expanded its sports presence in late 2024, hosting livestreamed events like two NFL games on Christmas Day and the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson boxing match in November. Despite technical issues during the boxing match due to overwhelming viewership, these high-profile events likely boosted subscriber numbers in Q4.
- STATISTIC (LAST 8 QUARTERS): HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE SHOWS THAT NETFLIX TENDS TO BEAT ANALYSTS’ EXPECTATIONS. Netflix has beaten revenue estimates 5 times over the past 8 quarters, and it has managed to beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 7 times over the past 8 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q3 EARNINGS RELEASED on October 17, 2024): Netflix's Q3 results exceeded expectations, with revenues up 15% to $8.83B and active subscribers rising 14% to $ 282.72M year-over-year.
DONALD TRUMP INAUGURATION on January 20th, 2025
- STATISTICS: NETFLIX STOCK ROSE 59.84% DURING THE FIRST YEAR OF TRUMP’S FIRST PRESIDENTIAL TERM (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2018). Following Donald Trump's inauguration in January 2017, Netflix's stock price increased by 31.92% over the next six months, and 59.84% during the first year. During his new term, similar policies are expected, including further corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and increased investments in the US economy. These measures could once again create favorable conditions for Netflix's stock price to achieve significant growth.
Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NETFLIX: PRICE ACTION
- THE STOCK HIT AN ALL TIME HIGH OF $941 ON DECEMBER 11, 2024.
- ANALYSTS OPINION: Morgan Stanley forecasts $ 1050, Oppenheimer forecasts $1065, JP Morgan forecasts $1000, Argus Research forecasts $1040.
#NFLX, January 15, 2025
Current Price: 829
|
Netflix |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1,065 |
|
|
1,000 |
|
|
920 |
|
|
763 |
|
|
750 |
|
|
740 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Netflix |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
236,000 |
171,000 |
91,000 |
-66,000 |
-79,000 |
-89,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
228,888 |
165,847 |
88,258 |
-64,011 |
-76,619 |
-86,318 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
193,135 |
139,941 |
74,472 |
-54,012 |
-64,651 |
-72,835 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
338,584 |
245,330 |
130,556 |
-94,689 |
-113,340 |
-127,686 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:10 (GMT) 15/01/2025.
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit