Tesla (#TSLA) weekly special report based On 1 Lot Calculation:
GLOBAL EV MARKETS:
- ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) MADE ONLY AROUND 9.0% OF TOTAL CAR SALES, WORTH 66.7 MILLION CARS IN 2022: The EV sector increased its market share from 4.11% in 2021 to around 9.00% off the global car sales in 2022.
- MARKET POTENTIAL: ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) COULD BE EXPECTED TO TAKE UP AROUND 50% OF GLOBAL CAR SALES BY 2030. The 2021 figures of 287.36 billion dollars are an increase of around 76% from 2020’s 160.01 billion dollars. Expecting this number to grow to 823.75 billion dollars, the EV market could be growing annually on average by 18.6%.
EV MARKET SHARE IN THE US:
- Tesla: 60%
- Ford and General Motors: 10%
- Others: 30%
Source: Barrons.com
GLOBAL EV (all-electric car) MARKET SHARE:
- Tesla: 23.6%
- BYD Auto: 14.7%
- Volkswagen: 7.5%
- SAIC: 7.4%
- Geely- Volvo: 5.7%
- Others: 41.1%
Source: insideevs.com
TESLA: ANALYSIS
- Q2 EARNINGS REPORT. REVENUE $24.9 Billion vs. $24.51 Billion expected. Tesla released record high revenue figures for Q2, up 47% from same period last year. EARNINGS PER SHARE: $0.91 vs. $0.81 expected. Tesla reported adjusted net earnings of $3.1 billion, up 20% from the second quarter last year. 2023 DELIVERY TARGET: 1.8 million cars. CYBERTRUCK: On track to start mass delivery by the end of the year.
- Q2 CAR DELIVERY (NEW QUARTERLY RECORD: 466,140). Tesla delivered a new quarterly record when it released 466,140 cars been delivered in Q2, beating Q1 2023 record of 422,875. Still the company is expected to deliver 1.8-1.9 million cars in 2023, which would be 37% to 44.6% up from 2022.
- NEWS: MODEL Y WAS THE BEST SELLING CAR IN EUROPE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF 2023.
TESLA: EVENTS AND OTHER ANALYSIS
- TESLA AGAIN CONSIDERING TO ENTER THE INDIAN MARKET: Reportedly, the company is in talks with the Indian officials to build a factory there.
- TESLA CONSIDERING TO BUILD A GIGAFACTORY IN SPAIN: Tesla is reportedly considering building a new factory in Valencia, Spain, that could be worth close to 5 billion dollars.
- TESLA IS CONSIDERING A NEW MODEL (MODEL 2): The model is expected to be the cheapest ever offered by Tesla, in a range between 20,000 and 25,000 dollars. The reports say that new Gigafactories to be built will incorporate technologies to produce the new model.
- CYBERTRUCK (PICK-UP) COMING IN THE SECOND HALF OF 2023. Elon Musk said he expects the Tesla Cybertruck to sell between 250,000 and 500,000 units per year once production is fully ramped.
TESLA: PRICE ACTION
- THE STOCK HAS TRADED AROUND 41% BELOW ITS ALL- TIME HIGH OF $414.4 (November 4, 2021). Tesla was last trading around $243, and if a full recovery follows to recent all- time highs, the stock could see an upside of around 70%, however the price could decline further.
- ANALYSTS OPINIONS: Wedbush forecasts $350. New Street Research forecasts $350. RBC Capital forecasts $305. Muziho forecasts $330. Deutsche Bank forecasts $300.
#TSLA, August 11, 2023
Current Price: 243
Tesla |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
350 |
|
300 |
|
270 |
|
217 |
|
210 |
|
200 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
Tesla |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
107,000 |
57,000 |
27,000 |
-26,000 |
-33,000 |
-43,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
97,361 |
51,865 |
24,568 |
-23,658 |
-30,027 |
-39,126 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
84,252 |
44,882 |
21,260 |
-20,472 |
-25,984 |
-33,858 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
143,808 |
76,608 |
36,288 |
-34,944 |
-44,352 |
-57,79 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT+1) 11/08/2023
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