CFDs се комплексни инструменти и содржат висок ризик од брзо губење пари поради левериџ. 67% од ритеил инвеститорите губат пари кога тргуваат со CFDs со овој провајдер. Треба да размислите дали можете да си дозволите да преземете висок ризик од губење на вашите пари.
ЦФД (CFD) се комплексни инструменти и носат висок ризик од брзо губење пари како резултат на левериџ. 73.43% од сметките на клиентите-физички лица губат пари кога тргуваат со CFD. Потребно е да размислите околу сфаќањето на начинот на кој функционираат таквите договори и дали може да си дозволите да го преземете високиот ризик од губење на целиот ваш инвестиран капитал.
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UNITED AIRLINES (#UAL)

Специјални извештаи - 15/01/2025

15 јануари, 2025

Наведениот пример користи Договори за разлика (CFD). Калкулациите се применуваат само за цените на одредени инструменти за наведениот датум и калкулациите претставуваат можна прилика за добивка или загуба. Нема гаранции за прецизноста и потполноста на овие информации, значи, секое лице кое доносува одлука според тие информации, тоа го прави целосно на сопствен ризик.

UNITED AIRLINES (#UAL) Weekly Special Report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GLOBAL AIRLINES MARKETS:

  • GLOBAL AIRLINE TO KEEP IMPROVING IN 2025: The global aviation market is anticipated to continue its recovery post-pandemic, with net profits projected to reach approximately $26.5 billion and revenues expected to grow by 8.1% to around $980 billion. Passenger traffic is forecasted to surpass 2019 levels, expanding at an average annual rate of 3.2%.

  • EXPECTED MARKET GROWTH AT 3.6%: The global airlines market, valued at $350 billion in 2023, is expected to grow to over $480 billion by 2032, maintaining a CAGR (Cumulative Annual Growth Rate) of 3.6%.

UNITED AIRLINES GROUP (#UAL):

  • THE COMPANY: United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is one of the largest airline companies in the world, recognized for its extensive global network and comprehensive service offerings. According to recent data, United operates a fleet of over 800 aircraft and employs approximately 90,000 people worldwide.

  • 3RD LARGEST AIRLINE IN THE USA: United Airlines ranks as the third-largest airline in the United States by revenue, following American Airlines and Delta Air Lines.

  • STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: UNITED AIRLINES stock is part of the S&P 500 (USA500) index.

ANALYSIS AND EVENTS:

  • EVENT (TUESDAY, JANUARY 21, AFTERMARKET): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. United Airlines is expected to print $14.349 billion in revenue for Q4 of 2024. This is an increase of 5.3% from the same period last year ($13.626 billion). In addition, the company is expected to post Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $3.03, which would be an increase of 46.5% from the same period last year ($2.00).

  • COMPANY EARNINGS PERFORMANCE (LAST 8 QUARTERS): According to Bloomberg, United Airlines has beaten earnings expectations 8 times over the past 8 quarters and beaten revenue expectations 7 times over the past 8 quarters.

  • LAST TIME (OCTOBER 15, 2024, AFTERMARKET): THE COMPANY BEATS Q3 ESTIMATES; STOCK ROSE 15.49%. United Airlines beat revenue estimates of 14.77 billion dollars, printing a figure of 14.84 billion dollars for Q3 of 2024. Meanwhile, the company printed EPS of $3.33, beating analysts’ estimates for $3.13. STOCK PERFORMANCE ON OCTOBER 16, 2024: The stock rose 15.49% to hit a session high of $73.49, up from its open price of $63.63.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.

OTHER ANALYSIS:

  • CHINA LUNAR NEW YEAR (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 12): According to Reuters, the annual travel rush for China's Lunar New Year celebrations has begun, with authorities expecting a record 9 billion domestic trips to take place in the 40-day festival time. This is up from the around 8.4 billion trips logged last year. Air travel is expected to exceed 90 million trips. Internationally, flights to Tokyo, Osaka, Bangkok and Singapore are also seeing strong demand, according to the civil aviation regulator.

  • STATISTICS (CHINA LUNAR NEW YEAR 2024 (FEBRUARY)): UNITED AIRLINES STOCK ROSE 10.33% IN FEBRUARY 2024. The United Airlines Stock rose 10.33% during the month of February 2024 as travelling in China due to the Lunar New Year increased demand for airline services across the globe. Last year, the event took place between February 10 to February 17, but travelling began earlier before February 10 and ended much later after February 17. (Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform).

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.

PRICE ACTION:

  • THE STOCK HIT A NEW ALL TIME HIGH IN JANUARY 2025 ($110.75): United Airlines stock hit an all-time high of $110.75 on January 10, 2025. The current price stands at $107. Moreover, if the Barclays forecast ($150) is realized, this would provide an upside potential of around 40%. However, it could also decline.

  • UNITED AIRLINE STOCK PERFORMANCE IN 2024: +136.43%.

  • ANALYST OPINION: Barclays forecasts $150; Evercore forecasts $135; Morgan Stanley forecasts $130; Goldman Sachs forecasts $125.

#UAL, JANUARY 15, 2025
Current Price: 107.00

United Airlines

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

150.00

Resistance 2

135.00

Resistance 1

118.00

Support 1

98.00

Support 2

95.00

Support 3

90.00

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

United Airlines

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

43,000.00

28,000.00

11,000.00

-9,000.00

-12,000.00

-17,000.00

Profit or loss in €²

41,753.25

27,188.16

10,681.06

-8,739.05

-11,652.07

-16,507.10

Profit or loss in £²

35,230.16

22,940.57

9,012.37

-7,373.76

-9,831.67

-13,928.20

Profit or loss in C$²

61,705.81

40,180.53

15,785.21

-12,915.17

-17,220.23

-24,395.32

  1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units.

  2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:45 (GMT) 15/01/2025.

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.

  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning   Privacy policy
Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning   Privacy policy
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.43% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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