COCOA (#COCOA )

Posebna poročila - 25/10/2024

25 oktober, 2024

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

COCOA (#COCOA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:

TECHNICAL REVIEW

COCOA HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE MARCH 2024 (6419).
COCOA PRICES HAVE TESTED THE MARK OF $7000 (OR NEAR) 8 TIMES SINCE MAY 2024. This is the 9th time that the Cocoa prices are testing levels near the mark of $7000.

GRAPH (DAILY): APRIL 2024 - OCTOBER 2024

2024 STATISTICS: COCOA TENDS TO RECOVER BY AROUND 26% AFTER TESTING THE MARK OF $7000 OR NEAR IT.

DATA SOURCE: Fortrade MetaTrader 4

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

KEY FUNDAMENTALS:

TOP COCOA PRODUCERS (tons): 1. Ivory Coast - 2.200m, 2. Ghana - 1.100m, 3. Indonesia - 0.667m, 4. Ecuador - 0.337m, 5. Cameroon - 0.300m.
SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS: Ghana and Ivory Coast, which produce over 60% of the world's cocoa, are facing severe harvest problems.

CONSUMER TRENDS: Traditional consumer markets for cocoa include Europe, North America, and South America, where consumption has shown stagnation in recent years.
DEMAND GROWTH (2024- 2030): 4.8% PER YEAR EXPECTED GROWTH. The Global Cocoa Market size is expected to reach $38.3 billion by 2030, rising at a market growth of 4.8% Cumulative Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) during the forecast period. Expectations are that the demand for cocoa will increase especially from emerging and developing countries like China and India, where a cocoa consumption growth rate is around 20% and 10% respectively. (Source: kbvresearch.com)

NEWS AND EVENTS

SEPTEMBER 2024 MONTHLY COCOA MARKET REVIEW BY THE INTERNATIONAL COCOA ORGANIZATION (ICCO): On 11 September 2024, Ghana officially opened the 2024/25 season. Later, on 1 October, Ivory Coast opened the new season. Farmers said they were able to get two harvests per month in October, and that the main crop's harvesting would continue in November and December before reaching its peak in December.
MARKET DEFICIT: Earlier in their quarterly report, the ICCO specified that current market deficit amounts to 439,000 million tons, up from previous estimates of 374,000 million tons.

COCOA (#COCOA) October 25, 2024
Current Price: 6710

Cocoa	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	10,000
Resistance 2	9,000
Resistance 1	8,000
Support 1	6,000
Support 2	5,900
Support 3	5,800

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot¹

Cocoa
	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	32,900	22,900	12,900	-7,100	-8,100	-9,100
Profit or loss in €²	30,395	21,156	11,918	-6,559	-7,483	-8,407
Profit or loss in £²	25,400	17,679	9,959	-5,481	-6,253	-7,025
Profit or loss in C$²	45,557	31,710	17,863	-9,831	-11,216	-12,601

1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:58 (GMT+1) 25/10/2024

There is a possibility to use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You can lose all the balance of your trading account, but not more than that, due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 73% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

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Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

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Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

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Družbo Fortrade Cyprus Ltd ureja in nadzoruje Ciprska komisija za vrednostne papirje in borzo s številko licence CIF 385/20.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni in zelo špekulativni instrumenti, pri katerih obstaja veliko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 75% računov majhnih vlagateljev na drobno izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Razmislite, ali razumete, kako delujejo CFD-ji in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje za izgubo celotnega vloženega kapitala.

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Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni instrumenti z visokim nivojem tveganja izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. Imejte v mislih, da lahko izgubite vsa sredstva, toda ne več kot imate na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativno bilanco, ki Vam jo zagotavlja Fortrade.

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