GOLD

Posebna poročila - 14/11/2024

14 november, 2024

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS TO SUPPORT DEMAND FOR SAFE-HAVEN INSTRUMENTS

US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024 (NOVEMBER 5): DONALD TRUMP (R) WINS OVER KAMALA HARRIS (D). Donald Trump has become the 47th president of the USA and the markets are now expected to focus on his next steps once he takes office.
STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 49.22% DURING DONALD TRUMP’S PRESIDENCY 2016 - 2020. Donald Trump was elected 45th President of the USA in 2016 and managed to bring a number of uncertainties, including trade policies and initiating trade wars against China, the EU, Mexico, and Canada. In addition, he slashed corporate taxes to, in a way, inject fiscal stimulus into the economy, which was positive for gold prices back then.

Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal; MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

CENTRAL BANKS: INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION

BREAKING (NOVEMBER 7): FEDERAL RESERVE ANNOUNCED ITS SECOND INTEREST RATE CUT IN 2024. The US Federal Reserve decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.50% points in September and 0.25% points in November. The bank expects to cut rates one more time in 2024 to slash its benchmark rate to 4.5% by the end of 2024. The bank expects rates to fall to 3.5% in 2025 and further down to 2.9% in 2026.
NEXT FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: December 18, 2024 at 19:00 GMT. As of November 14, the market sees high chances for 25 basis points interest rates cut. This could bring current rates of 4.75% down to 4.50%.

SEASONAL TRADE: DECEMBER - JANUARY (2014- 2024)

STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 5.62% ON AVERAGE BETWEEN DECEMBER AND JANUARY (2014- 2024)

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

STATISTICS (2022 – 2024): PRICE RECOVERY AFTER CORRECTION LARGER THAN 150 DOLLARS

PRICE DECLINES: WHEN PRICE CORRECTION HAPPENS, GOLD TENDS TO LOSE 8.66% ON AVERAGE
PRICE RECOVERY: GOLD TENDS TO RECOVER TO ITS MOST RECENT TOPS WITHIN 4.25 WEEKS ON AVEARGE
PRICE RECOVERY: GOLD TENDS TO RECOVER BY 9.57% ON AVERAGE

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

ANALYST OPINION:

Citigroup targets $3,000; Bank of America targets $3,000; UBS targets $2,900. Goldman Sachs targets $2,900.

GOLD, November 14, 2024
Current Price: 2537

GOLD	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	3000
Resistance 2	2900
Resistance 1	2600
Support 1	2480
Support 2	2460
Support 3	2440

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	46,300	36,300	6,300	-5,700	-7,700	-9,700
Profit or loss in €²	44,055	34,540	5,994	-5,424	-7,327	-9,230
Profit or loss in £²	36,623	28,713	4,983	-4,509	-6,091	-7,673
Profit or loss in C$²	64,881	50,868	8,828	-7,987	-10,790	-13,593

1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT) 14/11/2024

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You can lose all the balance of your trading account, but not more than that, due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 67% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Družbo Fortrade Cyprus Ltd ureja in nadzoruje Ciprska komisija za vrednostne papirje in borzo s številko licence CIF 385/20.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni in zelo špekulativni instrumenti, pri katerih obstaja veliko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 75% računov majhnih vlagateljev na drobno izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Razmislite, ali razumete, kako delujejo CFD-ji in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje za izgubo celotnega vloženega kapitala.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce ZDA, ali Belgija ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni instrumenti z visokim nivojem tveganja izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. Imejte v mislih, da lahko izgubite vsa sredstva, toda ne več kot imate na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativno bilanco, ki Vam jo zagotavlja Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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