Silver

Posebna poročila - 26/02/2025

26 februar, 2025

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

Silver Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND ITS NEW TARIFF POLICY TO SUPPORT SAFE-HAVEN DEMAND

BREAKING (FEBRUARY 25): US PRESIDENT TRUMP ORDERED TARIFF PROBE INTO U.S. COPPER IMPORTS. President Trump signed an order at the White House directing Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to start a national security probe under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. That is the same law Trump used in his first term to impose 25% global tariffs on steel and aluminum.
BREAKING (FEBRUARY 24): US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP CONFIRMED TARIFFS ON CANADA AND MEXICO WILL GO FORWARD AS PLANNED. Trump was asked at a press conference about the tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which were postponed until March 4, 2025.
BREAKING (FEBRUARY 18): US PRESIDENT TRUMP TO IMPOSE 25% ON AUTO AND PROBABLY 25% OR MORE ON PHARMACEUTICAL AND CHIP (SEMICONDUCTOR) IMPORTS. Trump said tariffs on automobiles would come as soon as April 2. Pharma and chip firms could face tariffs of 25% or above, but the timing remains uncertain (Source: Reuters).
BREAKING (FEBRUARY 13): US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ANNOUNCED RECIPROCAL TARIFF PLAN. Trump signed a memo ordering his team to start calculating duties to match those other countries charge and to counteract non-tariff barriers such as vehicle safety rules that exclude U.S. autos and value-added taxes that increase their cost (Source: Reuters).
BREAKING (FEBRUARY 10): US PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCED 25% TARIFFS ON STEEL AND ALUMINUM TO ALL COUNTRIES, TAKING EFFECT ON MARCH 4. President Donald Trump substantially raised tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to a flat 25% without exceptions or exemptions in a move to aid the struggling industries but which increases the risk of a multi-front trade war (Source: Reuters).
BREAKING (FEBRUARY 4): CHINA RETALIATES BY IMPOSING 10% TO 15% TARIFFS ON SELECT U.S. PRODUCTS STARTING FEBRUARY 10. China’s finance ministry said it will impose 15% tariffs on coal and liquified natural gas imports from the U.S. and 10% duties on crude oil, farm equipment, and certain cars, starting February 10 (Source: Reuters).

EVENTS:

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 28 at 13:30 GMT: PCE (PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE) PRICE INDEX (JANUARY). This is an indicator of the average increases in prices for all domestic personal consumption and it is Fed’s preferred inflation indicator. A lower-than-expected result is generally supportive for the silver because it makes the FED more likely to lower interest rates, which is positive for metals.
FRIDAY, MARCH 7 at 13:30 GMT: US NONFARM PAYROLLS AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (JANUARY). US Unemployment rate is expected stay above 4.0%. The report will be closely watched as Fed interest rate decisions in 2025 will depend on the US employment market development.
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12, at 12:30 GMT: U.S INFLATION (CPI) (FEBRUAR): The U.S is scheduled to report its CPI figure for the month of February. The CPI inflation for January came out at 3%, up from the 2.9% in December.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

STRONG SUPPORT AT $30. Silver has maintained strong support at $30 since May 2024. Since then, Silver would resist staying below $30 as bargain hunters come back to send price up back above $30. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

ANALYST EXPECTATIONS

UBS: The bank targets a price of $36.
CITIGROUP: The bank targets a price of $40.
JP Morgan: The bank targets a price of $34.

PRICE ACTION

ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $49.80. Silver jumped to $49.80 in 2011, during the debt crisis in Europe. Currently, Silver trades around $31.70 and if full recovery is made this could offer an upside potential of around 57%. However, the price could also decline.

Silver, February 26, 2025
Current Price: 31.70

SILVER	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	40.00
Resistance 2	36.00
Resistance 1	32.80
Support 1	30.80
Support 2	30.30
Support 3	29.80

Example of calculation based on trend direction for 1.00 Lot*

SILVER
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	83,000	43,000	11,000	-9,000	-14,000	-19,000
Profit or loss in €²	79,048	40,953	10,476	-8,571	-13,333	-18,095
Profit or loss in £²	65,572	33,971	8,690	-7,110	-11,060	-15,010
Profit or loss in C$²	118,899	61,598	15,758	-12,893	-20,055	-27,218

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10.000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:30 (GMT) 26/2/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.43% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 66% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni finančni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda prinašajo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja. 73.43% malih vlagateljev izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Premislite, ali razumete, kako CFD-ji delujejo, in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje izgube svojega denarja. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd je reguliran in nadzorovan s strani Ciprske komisije za vrednostne papirje in borzo (CySEC) z licenco CIF številka 385/20. CFD-ji morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato poskrbite, da razumete tveganja, povezana z njimi, in poiščite neodvisni nasvet. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali povabila k sklenitvi transakcije s katerim koli finančnim instrumentom. Fortrade ne prevzema odgovornosti za kakršno koli uporabo teh informacij in za posledice, ki iz tega izhajajo. Prav tako ni podano nobeno zagotovilo ali jamstvo glede točnosti ali celovitosti teh informacij; posledično vsakdo, ki deluje na podlagi teh informacij, to počne izključno na lastno odgovornost.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Vsi CFD-ji, vključno s CFD-ji na kriptovalute, so kompleksni instrumenti in vključujejo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Zavedajte se, da lahko kot maloprodajni uporabnik izgubite vse, vendar ne več kot stanje na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativnim saldom pri Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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