STOCK BASKET

Posebna poročila - 08/11/2024

08 november, 2024

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

STOCK BASKET: Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE: STOCK PERFORMANCE AFTER 6 AND 12 MONTHS AFTER DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT IN THE USA IN 2016

Company	TICKER	6 months after the elections 2016	12 months after the elections 2016
J.P. Morgan	#JP_MORGAN	24.88%	40.99%
Morgan Stanley	#MORGAN_STA	27.62%	45.55%
Nvidia	#NVDA	45.81%	196.09%
Tesla	#TSLA	60.45%	57.66%
AMD	#AMD	49.20%	74.31%
Boeing	#BOEING	30.62%	87.53%

Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform;

DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED THE 45TH PRESIDENT IN 2016 AND HE STAYED IN POWER UNTIL 2020.
LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: DONALD TRUMP LOWERED THE CORPRATE TAXES TO 21% FROM THE PREVIOUS 35%. This gave boost to Corporate America, providing better business conditions in the USA. This was positive for the US companies.
US STOCKS ROSE AFTER DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT IN 2016: 6 MONTHS AFTER ELECTIONS: Banks like JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley rose 24.88% and 27.62%, respectively while Nvidia gained 45.81%. In addition, Tesla rose 60.45%, AMD added 49.20%, while Boeing gained 30.62% 12 MONTHS AFTER ELECTIONS: 12 months after elections, JP Morgan was up 40.99%, Morgan Stanley was up 45.55%, while Nvidia was up 196.09%. Tesla gained 57.66%, AMD rose 74.31% while Boeing increased 87.53% 12 months after elections.

DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. AGAIN ON NOVEMBER 5, 2024.

LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: CORPORATE TAXES ARE EXPECTED TO BE CUT TO 15% FROM THE CURRENT 21%. Corporate tax cuts would boost profits across sectors, allowing banks to expand lending, tech companies to increase R&D, and automotive companies to scale EV production.
INCREASE IN DEFENCE SPENDING: Increased defense spending would drive demand for tech companies in cloud and AI, open military contracts for automotive companies with battery and autonomous tech, and provide banks with advisory and financing opportunities in the defense sector.
REGULATORY EASING: This would enable banks to cut compliance costs and expand operations, while tech and automotive companies could accelerate innovation and scale production more quickly in the U.S.
AMERICA – FIRST POLICIES: Focus on U.S.-based growth would encourage tech companies to expand domestic R&D, automotive companies to increase U.S. EV and battery production, and offer banks new financing opportunities across high-growth American sectors.

STOCK PRICE REACTION: BASED ON STATISTICAL ANALYSIS DURING AFTER ELECTIONS IN 2016 AND ONE WEEK BEFORE 2024 ELECTIONS

Downside Potential1	Upside Potential2
-8.5%	+20%

¹Calculation Downside Potential: Based on Average Weekly Price Volatility of all six stocks one week before 2024 Presidential Elections

² Calculation Upside Potential: Based on Average Price Reaction of all six stock 6 month after 2016 Presidential Elections

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.

TARGET LEVELS: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

Company	Support	Current Price **	Resistance
J.P. Morgan	$217	$237	$284
Morgan Stanley	$118	$129	$155
Nvidia	$135	$148	$178
Tesla	$273	$298	$358
AMD	$136	$149	$179
Boeing	$138	$151	$181

Note: Support and Resistance Levels have been calculated by using upside and downside potential figures. Therefore, for each stock resistance would be 20% higher, while support would be 8.5% lower.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.

Total Potential Profit/Loss of the Stock Basket3
-$94,520	$222,400
-€87,752	€206,475
-£72,971	£171,696
-C$131,318	C$308,983

Data Source on Stock Returns and Volatility: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform;

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.

³- Profit/Loss Calculation (**): Based on 1 lot (*) on each of the six stocks (6 lots), their current stock price and their upside and downside potential figure from this report

*1.00 lot is equivalent of 1 000 units

**Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT) 08/11/2024

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You can lose all the balance of your trading account, but not more than that, due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 67% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Družbo Fortrade Cyprus Ltd ureja in nadzoruje Ciprska komisija za vrednostne papirje in borzo s številko licence CIF 385/20.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni in zelo špekulativni instrumenti, pri katerih obstaja veliko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 75% računov majhnih vlagateljev na drobno izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Razmislite, ali razumete, kako delujejo CFD-ji in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje za izgubo celotnega vloženega kapitala.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce ZDA, ali Belgija ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni instrumenti z visokim nivojem tveganja izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. Imejte v mislih, da lahko izgubite vsa sredstva, toda ne več kot imate na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativno bilanco, ki Vam jo zagotavlja Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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