CHIPOTLE (#CHIPOTLE) weekly special report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL: THE COMPANY
- Chipotle Mexican Grill is an international chain of fast-casual restaurants specializing in bowls, tacos, and Mission burritos made to order in front of the customer. Fast-casual restaurants combine elements of fast food and casual dining. Chipotle has a market share of approximately 10% within the U.S. fast-casual dining segment. It was one of the first chains of fast casual dining establishments and as of March 2023, it has 3,200 restaurants. The company achieved 40 million reward members due to the company's investments in digital sales strategies.
CHIPOTLE: ANALYSIS AND NEWS
- Q4 EARNINGS AND OUTLOOK. For Q4, Chipotle earnings rose 21% to 25 cents a share, a penny ahead of views. Revenue increased 13.1% to $2.845 billion, roughly in line with estimates. Same-store sales grew 5.4%, slightly below estimates for 5.7%, slowing both year on year and quarter over quarter. For 2025, Chipotle guided comparable restaurant sales growth "in the low to mid-single digit range." Analysts were anticipating comp growth of 5.4% for the full year.
- CHIPOTLE HONEY CHICKEN SYSTEMWIDE ROLLOUT BY MARCH. During the latest earnings call, the company’s management announced that the "hot honey" product has been a resounding success. Due to strong sales and positive customer feedback, they revealed plans to launch the product systemwide by the end of March. The company expects the expansion to further boost sales and strengthen customer engagement, capitalizing on the growing demand for unique flavor combinations.
- CHIPOTLE’S CULTIVATE NEXT FUND HAS INVESTED IN INNOVATIVE PLANT-BASED TECHNOLOGIES - Chipotle's Cultivate Next Fund has invested in cutting-edge plant-based technologies, signaling a strategic move toward sustainability and innovation. This initiative aligns with growing consumer demand for healthier, eco-friendly food options and positions Chipotle to stay ahead of industry trends.
ANALYST OPINION:
- Deutsche Bank’s price target is $72.0. Baird is targeting $70.0. Citi targets $70, while Trust Securities targets $71.0.
STOCK PRICE ACTION:
- Chipotle stock made its all-time high of adjusted $69.1 on June 18, 2024. The stock price currently trades around $57.8 (16.5 % below its record high). If a full recovery follows recent all-time highs, the stock price could see an upside of around 19.8%. However, the price could decline further.
CHIPOTLE, February 11, 2025
Current Price: 57.8
|
CHIPOTLE |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
75 |
|
|
70 |
|
|
63 |
|
|
53 |
|
|
52 |
|
|
50 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
CHIPOTLE |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
86,000 |
61,000 |
26,000 |
-24,000 |
-29,000 |
-39,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
83,373 |
59,136 |
25,206 |
-23,267 |
-28,114 |
-37,808 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
69,529 |
49,317 |
21,020 |
-19,403 |
-23,446 |
-31,531 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
123,298 |
87,455 |
37,276 |
-34,409 |
-41,577 |
-55,914 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 5 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:30 (GMT) 11/02/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.