EUR/USD Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: TRADE WAR
- BREAKING (APRIL 2): US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ANNOUNCES RECIPROCAL TARIFFS. US President Trump unveiled a comprehensive tariff package labeled “Liberation Day,” targeting countries with high tariffs on imported goods. A 10% baseline tariff took effect on April 5 for several US allies including the European Union Countries. This move marks a sharp escalation in US-EU trade tensions.
- INCREASING TENSIONS BETWEEN THE U.S. AND EUROPE: The new tariffs raised investor uncertainty, pushing demand for the U.S. dollar, and weakening the euro.
EVENTS (UNITED STATES):
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (MARCH): A higher-than-expected rating is expected to be negative for the EURUSD currency pair because the FED will then be motivated to delay rate cuts, creating positive pressure for the US dollar. This data measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. This data stood at 3.11% last month, which was lower than the expected 3.10% the month before.
- THURSDAY, APRIL 17, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMES: A lower-than-expected rating should be regarded as negative for the EURUSD currency pair because it will point to less rate cuts by the FED. This data measures the number of individuals who filled for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. The number for the previous week stood at 223K which was higher than the number for the week before - 219K.
EVENTS (EUROZONE):
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16, AT 10:00 GMT+1: EUROZONE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) (MARCH): A lower-than-expected rating is expected to be negative for the EURUSD, because it will motivate the ECB to cut the interest rate, weakening the Euro. This data measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. The data for February came in at 2.3% which was lower than for the month before which was 2.5%.
- THURSDAY, APRIL 17, AT 14:15 GMT+1: EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE DECISION: Lower interest rates could exert negative pressure on the EURUSD. The ECB Executive board will meet to vote on the policy rate for the ECB. An interest rate cut to 2.40% down from 2.65% is expected.
EURUSD, APRIL 14, 2025
Current Price: 1.1310
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.1600 |
|
|
1.1550 |
|
|
1.1500 |
|
|
1.1100 |
|
|
1.1000 |
|
|
1.0900 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-2,900 |
-2,400 |
-1,900 |
2,100 |
3,100 |
4,100 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-2,567 |
-2,124 |
-1,682 |
1,859 |
2,744 |
3,629 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-2,210 |
-1,829 |
-1,448 |
1,600 |
2,362 |
3,124 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-4,029 |
-3,334 |
-2,640 |
2,917 |
4,307 |
5,696 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 14:00 (GMT+1) 14/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.