GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: US – CHINA TRADE WAR
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9: U.S. RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS TO 125%: The tariffs on China have been raised to 125%, up from the previous 104%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9: CHINA RETALIATES, RAISING TARIFFS ON U.S. GOODS TO 84%. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, retaliating against Trump’s tariff increase on China to 104%.
- TUESDAY, APRIL 8: U.S. RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS TO 104%.
- FRIDAY, APRIL 4: CHINA RETALIATES RAISING TARIFFS ON U.S. GOODS TO 34%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 2: U.S. RAISED TARIFFS ON CHINA GOODS TO 54%.
US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND GOLD DURING TRUMP’S FIRST PRESIDENCY
- STATISTICS: GOLD ROSE 10.85% DURING TRUMP’S FIRST YEAR OF PRESIDENCY (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, Gold rose 55.38% during the entire first presidential term of Donald Trump (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021).
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
CHINA: GOLD RESERVES CONTINUED TO RISE
- CHINA GOLD RESERVES UP TO 73.70 MILLION OUNCES IN MARCH: China has managed to increase its gold reserves from 73.61 million ounces in February to new, 73.70 million ounces in March. This is their fifth consecutive increase of gold reserves on a monthly basis.
ANALYSTS’ OPINION:
- DEUTSCHE BANK RAISED ITS GOLD PRICE TARGET TO $3,350 (Q4, 2025) and $3,700 (2026).
- GOLDMAN SACHS RAISED GOLD PRICE TARGET TO $3,300, WITH A TARGET RANGE OF $3,250 AND $3,520. UNDER EXTREME SCENARIOS, GOLD COULD RISE TO $4,200 BY THE END OF 2025. However, it could also move in the opposite direction.
- BANK OF AMERICA RAISED ITS PRICE TARGET AT $3,350. IF INVESTMENT DEMAND RISES JUST 10%, GOLD COULD RISE TO $3,500. However, it could also move in the opposite direction.
- UBS RAISED GOLD PRICE TARGET TO $3,200.
- MORGAN STANLEY SET A BULL-CASE GOLD PRICE TARGET AT $3,400.
Source: Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC
EVENTS:
- THURSDAY, APRIL 10, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (march): A lower-than-expected rating could be supportive for gold, because the FED will find it easier to cut interest rates. This index measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. This index stood at 2.8% last month, which was lower than the expected 2.9%.
- THURSDAY, APRIL 11, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) (MARCH): A lower-than-expected rating could be supportive for gold, because the FED will find it easier to cut interest rates. This index measures the change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers. This index was 3.2% last month which was lower than the expected 3.3%.
- WEDNESDAY, APRIL 16, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (MARCH): A lower-than-expected rating could be considered positive for gold, because it will point to future rate cuts by the FED. This data measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The results for last month stood at 3.10%, which was below results for the month before 4.20%.
GOLD, April 10, 2025
Current Price: 3,105
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
3,400 |
|
|
3,300 |
|
|
3,180 |
|
|
3,040 |
|
|
3,020 |
|
|
3,000 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
29,500 |
19,500 |
7,500 |
-6,500 |
-8,500 |
-10,500 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
26,709 |
17,655 |
6,790 |
-5,885 |
-7,696 |
-9,507 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
22,917 |
15,148 |
5,826 |
-5,049 |
-6,603 |
-8,157 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
41,533 |
27,454 |
10,559 |
-9,151 |
-11,967 |
-14,783 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:08 (GMT+1) 10/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.