Natural Gas weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS:
- GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS: The war between Russia and Ukraine remains a critical factor influencing global natural gas prices. Europe’s efforts to reduce dependence on Russian gas have driven increased reliance on U.S. LNG exports. This shift has created higher global demand, particularly as Europe builds its energy security amid the conflict.
- TRUMP PRESIDENCY: A POTENTIAL POLICY SHIFT- Donald Trump’s return to the presidency on January 20, 2025, could bring significant changes to the natural gas sector. Among the expected shifts is a possible lifting of LNG export restrictions imposed during the Biden administration.
Potential implications:
- Removing export bans would enable U.S. producers to meet surging international LNG demand, particularly from Europe, which continues its transition away from Russian gas.
- While expanded exports could boost U.S. energy dominance, they could also tighten domestic supplies, leading to upward pressure on natural gas prices.
- A proenergy Trump administration could also accelerate investments in pipelines and LNG export terminals, enhancing long-term market growth.
Last time, after Donald Trump was elected President of the United States in 2016, the price of natural gas rose by 34.10% in December the same year.
Price changes by quarter in 2017
|
Quarter |
Natural Gas Performance in 2017 |
|
Q1 |
16.67% |
|
Q2 |
9.57% |
|
Q3 |
10.36% |
|
Q4 |
21.10% |
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
- HIGHER DEMAND DURING WINTER MONTHS: With the arrival of winter, demand for natural gas is expected to climb sharply as homes and businesses increase heating usage. This seasonal surge typically tightens supplies and drives prices higher. At the same time, heightened global competition for liquefied natural gas (LNG), particularly from Europe and Asia, could further strain the market and contribute to price increases.
NATURAL GAS, November 26, 2024
Current Price: 3.45
|
NATURAL GAS |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
5.00 |
|
|
4.50 |
|
|
4.00 |
|
|
3.00 |
|
|
2.75 |
|
|
2.50 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
15,500.00 |
10,500.00 |
5,500.00 |
-4,500.00 |
-7,000.00 |
-9,500.00 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
14,724.46 |
9,974.64 |
5,224.81 |
-4,274.84 |
-6,651.53 |
-9,027.07 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
12,294.46 |
8,328.51 |
4,362.55 |
-3,569.36 |
-5,556.02 |
-7,540.31 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
21,626.15 |
14,649.97 |
7,673.79 |
-6,278.56 |
-9,775.79 |
-13,267.14 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:15 (GMT) 26/11/2024
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit