Natural Gas

Special Reports - 20/02/2025

20 February, 2025

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Natural Gas weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

US NATURAL GAS

Natural Gas is one of the cleanest among the types of fosil fuel, which increases its demand in times when climate changes happen.
AROUND 40% OF ELECTRICITY IN THE U.S. IS PRODUCED FROM NATURAL GAS: Rising consumtion of electricity in the US will be accompanied by rising demand for natural gas.
AROUND 40% OF US HOUSEHOLDS USE NATURAL GAS FOR HEATING: As cold temperatures strike the US, households can be expected to increase usage due to rising heating demand.
U.S.A. IS ONE OF THE LARGEST EXPORTERS OF LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG) IN THE WORLD. In total, the US exported 88.3 million tons of LNG in 2024, up 4.4% from 2023’s 84.5 million tons.

EUROPE EXPECTED TO SOON START BUYING BIG QUANTITIES OF NATURAL GAS

EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS STORAGE REFILLING SEASON STARTS: MARCH- APRIL
EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS STORAGE REFILLING SEASON ENDS: NOVEMBER
MANDATE: EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS STORAGE MUST BE FULL AT LEAST 90% BY NOVEMBER
CURRENT: AT AROUND 43%
EUROPE BUYS BIG QUANTITIES OF LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG) FROM USA: 50% of total LNG imports to Europe comes from the USA. In December, Europe imported 10.89 million tons, of which, 5.84 million tons came from the USA.
69% OF TOTAL U.S. LNG EXPORTS WENT TO EUROPE IN DECEMBER 2024: The US exported 8.5 million tons of LNG in December, of which, 5.84 million tons went to Europe.
EUROPE IS PRESSED TO INCREASE BUYING FROM THE USA OR TO FACE TARIFFS: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP.
STATISTICS (2016 - 2024): NATURAL GAS PRICES ROSE 18.72% ON AVERAGE WHEN EUROPEAN REFILLING SEASON STARTED (MARCH - APRIL).

Data Source: Meta Trader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

STATISTICS (2016 - 2024): NATURAL GAS PRICES ROSE 47.80% ON AVERAGE DURING THE EUROPEAN REFILLING SEASON (MARCH – NOVEMBER)

Data Source: Meta Trader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

Natural Gas, February 20, 2025
Current Price: 4.10

Natural Gas	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	6.00
Resistance 2	5.30
Resistance 1	4.70
Support 1	3.60
Support 2	3.30
Support 3	3.00

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

Natural Gas
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	19,000	12,000	6,000	-5,000	-8,000	-11,000
Profit or loss in €²	18,175	11,479	5,739	-4,783	-7,653	-10,522
Profit or loss in £²	15,061	9,512	4,756	-3,963	-6,341	-8,719
Profit or loss in C$²	26,952	17,022	8,511	-7,093	-11,348	-15,604

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 14:30 (GMT) 20/02/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

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