NETFLIX (#NFLX) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
NETFLIX: THE COMPANY
- NETFLIX is one of the world's leading streaming services, with over 300 million paid subscribers in over 190 countries. In the last 2 years, the company made a number of impactful changes and moves, like an increase in third-party licensing, a new ad plan membership, and success in cracking down on password-sharing issues. Despite facing increasing competition from platforms like Disney+, HBO Max, and Amazon Prime Video, Netflix continues to lead in total minutes watched, surpassing other services.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Netflix stock is a part of the NASDAQ 100 (USA 100) index, and S&P 500 (USA500).
NETFLIX: EVENTS
- EVENT (THURSDAY, APRIL 17, AFTERMARKET): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. The company is expected to print $10.49 billion in revenue (a new record high), up around 11.95% from the same period last year ($9.37 billion). The company is expected to report a net income of $2.78 billion, up around 6.34% from the same period last year ($2.332 billion). FORWARD GUIDANCE (Q1): The company is expected to project $10.884 billion for Q1 of 2025 and $2.71 billion of net income.
- REVENUE AND EARNINGS PERFORMANCE (LAST 8 QUARTERS): NETFLIX TENDS TO BEAT ESTIMATES. The company has beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates 8 times over the past 8 quarters, while its revenue has managed to beat estimates 6 times over the past 8 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q4 EARNINGS RELEASED ON JANUARY 21, 2025, AFTERMARKET): Netflix reported a higher-than-expected number of subscriber additions (18.91 million vs. 10.18 million expected). STOCK PERFORMANCE ON JANUARY 22, 2025: The stock rose 15.40%, from $871.03 to hit a session high of 1,005.22.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
NETFLIX: WILL THE COMPANY REMAIN IMMUNE TO TRUMP’S TARIFFS AND TRADE WAR?
- NETFLIX WILL NOT FACE ANY DIRECT TARIFFS FOR ITS SERVICES: Trump’s recent tariffs are not expected to target Netflix services, as the tariffs seem to be targeting only goods imported to the USA. To this end, Netflix could see potential benefits as it will not have to change prices of its services, which, in turn, could continue to see a steady increase in subscribers.
NETFLIX: RECENT PRICE ACTION
- NETFLIX STOCK HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH $1,064.39 (FEBRUARY 18, 2025): The stock currently trades around $973 and if a full recovery to its recent all-time highs takes place, then it can offer an upside of around 9%. However, the stock price could decline as well.
- ANALYST OPINION: Rosenblatt Securities forecasts $1494; Wells Fargo forecasts $1210; Jefferies forecasts $1200; Morgan Stanley forecasts $1150.
#NFLX, APRIL 16, 2025
Current Price: 973
|
NETFLIX |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1500 |
|
|
1300 |
|
|
1090 |
|
|
870 |
|
|
850 |
|
|
830 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
NETFLIX |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
527,000 |
327,000 |
117,000 |
-103,000 |
-123,000 |
-143,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
463,966 |
287,888 |
103,006 |
-90,680 |
-108,288 |
-125,896 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
397,346 |
246,551 |
88,215 |
-77,660 |
-92,739 |
-107,819 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
733,168 |
454,926 |
162,772 |
-143,295 |
-171,119 |
-198,943 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:45 (GMT+1) 16/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.