Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which are critical components when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION (USA100, USA500, USA30): NVIDIA stock belongs to the three most important US stock indices, including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index, the S&P 500 (USA500) index, and the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL 30 (USA30).
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, released in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for release by the end of 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026; and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
NVIDIA: FINANCIALS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, MAY 28, AFTERMARKET): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. Nvidia is expected to print $43.46 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 10.5% from Q4’s $39.33 billion, and up around 67% from the same period last year ($26.04 billion). Nvidia is expected to print $23.11 billion in net income (a new record high), up around 4% from Q4’s $22.11 billion and up around 55% from the same period last year ($14.9 billion).
- LAST TIME (FEBRUARY 26, 2025): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. REVENUE (BEAT): $39.33 Billion vs. $38.08 Billion Expected. Revenue increased 78% in the quarter from the same period last year. NET INCOME (BEAT): $22.11 billion vs. $20.98 Expected. Net income rose to $22.11 billion from $12.90 billion a year ago, up by 71%.
- NVIDIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP GROWING UNTIL 2030: Nvidia is expected to print an annual revenue figure of $196.59 billion in 2025, up around 57% from 2024’s $124.75 billion and that number is expected to grow to $342.99 billion in 2030. Nvidia’s net income is expected to print $108.38 billion in 2025, up around 52% from 2024’s $71.19 billion and that number is expected to grow to $178.93 billion in 2030. (Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal).
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTIONS
- NVIDIA HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $152.63 ON NOVEMBER 21, 2024. The stock currently trades at $99 and if a full recovery takes place, the stock could see an upside of around 54%. However, the stock price could also decline.
- ANALYST OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $185, JPMorgan forecasts $170, Rosenblatt forecasts $220, Citigroup forecasts $163, Barclays forecasts $175.
NVIDIA: MARKET SHARE
- NVIDIA HOLDS AROUND 80% OF A.I. CHIP INDUSTRY. Mizuho Securities estimates that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the market for AI chip, while Nasdaq.com reported that Nvidia holds 80% market share. Other rivals such as AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Alphabet or Amazon seem to be still far behind Nvidia.
Data Source: CNBC, Nasdaq.com
#NVDA, April 8, 2025
Current Price: 99
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
153 |
|
135 |
|
120 |
|
82 |
|
78 |
|
75 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
NVIDIA |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
54,000 |
36,000 |
21,000 |
-17,000 |
-21,000 |
-24,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
49,439 |
32,959 |
19,226 |
-15,564 |
-19,226 |
-21,973 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
42,380 |
28,253 |
16,481 |
-13,342 |
-16,481 |
-18,835 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
76,662 |
51,108 |
29,813 |
-24,134 |
-29,813 |
-34,072 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:45 (GMT+1) 08/04/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.