Platinum

Platinum weekly special report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:

PLATINUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:

• Platinum has been a key element in autocatalysts for over forty years, with the automotive sector being its largest consumer, accounting for about 40% of annual demand.
• MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): BIGGEST PLATINUM PRODUCERS IN THE WORLD: South Africa is the largest producer holding 72.8% of the global market share while Russia is the second with 8-10% of the market. Zimbabwe is third with 5%.
• MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the world's largest platinum consumer with 34%, while Europe holds 22% and North America's 16% share of the platinum consumed worldwide.

HIGHER DEMAND IN 2025:

• AUTO SECTOR DEMAND TO HIT EIGHT-YEAR HIGH: The automotive industry, anticipated to begin its recovery this year, is expected to be a key driver of platinum demand in 2025. Consumption from the sector is projected to reach 3,245,000 ounces, the highest level in eight years. Source: The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC)
• US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP REVOKED BIDEN’S 50% EV SALES TARGET BY 2030: Trump rescinded the Biden administration's goals to boost electric vehicle sales, stating that U.S. citizens should have the freedom to choose the type of car they want to buy. This decision is seen as a positive signal for the traditional automotive industry, particularly for vehicles powered by fossil fuels, which utilize platinum in catalytic converters to reduce harmful gas emissions.

PLATINUM SUPPLY DEFICIT IN 2025:

• THIRD CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF DEFICIT IN 2025: The global platinum market is expected to experience its third consecutive year of deficit in 2025, with a projected shortfall of 539,000 ounces, according to the latest quarterly report from the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC). UBS forecasts a supply deficit of 500,000 ounces, equivalent to 6.4% of total demand, further confirming the persistent supply shortages. This follows deficits of 700,000 ounces in 2024 and 760,000 ounces in 2023, highlighting ongoing challenges in meeting growing demand.

CHINA:

• BREAKING (WEEK: MARCH 3 - 7): CHINA NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS MEETING. What to expect: The inflation target is expected to be cut to levels closer to 2%, down from 3%. Further stimulus is expected to be considered, but implementation may have to wait until the second part of 2025. The economic activity target measured by GDP growth is expected to be maintained at around 5%.

EVENTS

• FRIDAY, MARCH 7 AT 13:30 GMT: NONFARM PAYROLLS AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (FEB). A lower-than-expected reading should be taken as positive for platinum. Data for January missed estimates for 169,000 as actual number came in lower, at 143,000. Unemployment rate, however, beat expectations in January (4% vs. 4.1% expected).
• SUNDAY, MARCH 9 AT 01:30 GMT: CHINA INFLATION (CPI) (FEBRUARY) (PREVIOUS:0.5%). Inflation in China managed to rise in January from the previous 0.1% to the current 0.5%, supported by stronger aggregate demand encouraged by the most recent stimulus packages in China.
• WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12 AT 12:30 GMT: US INFLATION REPORT (FEB). In January CPI numbers rose from 2.9% to 3.0%.

PRICE ACTION:

• Platinum is currently trading at approximately $965, with its previous peak of $1,348.20 in February 2021. If the price moves to the levels from 2021, this would be a 40% price change. However, the price could decline.

PLATINUM, March 3, 2025
Current Price: 965

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot¹

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:15 (GMT) 03/03/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit

• You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
• Trailing stop technique could protect the profit