STOCK BASKET: Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE: STOCK PERFORMANCE AFTER 6 AND 12 MONTHS AFTER DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT IN THE USA IN 2016
|
Company |
TICKER |
6 months after the elections 2016 |
12 months after the elections 2016 |
|
J.P. Morgan |
#JP_MORGAN |
24.88% |
40.99% |
|
Morgan Stanley |
#MORGAN_STA |
27.62% |
45.55% |
|
Nvidia |
#NVDA |
45.81% |
196.09% |
|
Tesla |
#TSLA |
60.45% |
57.66% |
|
AMD |
#AMD |
49.20% |
74.31% |
|
Boeing |
#BOEING |
30.62% |
87.53% |
Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform;
- DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED THE 45TH PRESIDENT IN 2016 AND HE STAYED IN POWER UNTIL 2020.
- LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: DONALD TRUMP LOWERED THE CORPRATE TAXES TO 21% FROM THE PREVIOUS 35%. This gave boost to Corporate America, providing better business conditions in the USA. This was positive for the US companies.
- US STOCKS ROSE AFTER DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT IN 2016: 6 MONTHS AFTER ELECTIONS: Banks like JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley rose 24.88% and 27.62%, respectively while Nvidia gained 45.81%. In addition, Tesla rose 60.45%, AMD added 49.20%, while Boeing gained 30.62% 12 MONTHS AFTER ELECTIONS: 12 months after elections, JP Morgan was up 40.99%, Morgan Stanley was up 45.55%, while Nvidia was up 196.09%. Tesla gained 57.66%, AMD rose 74.31% while Boeing increased 87.53% 12 months after elections.
DONALD TRUMP WAS ELECTED PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. AGAIN ON NOVEMBER 5, 2024.
- LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: CORPORATE TAXES ARE EXPECTED TO BE CUT TO 15% FROM THE CURRENT 21%. Corporate tax cuts would boost profits across sectors, allowing banks to expand lending, tech companies to increase R&D, and automotive companies to scale EV production.
- INCREASE IN DEFENCE SPENDING: Increased defense spending would drive demand for tech companies in cloud and AI, open military contracts for automotive companies with battery and autonomous tech, and provide banks with advisory and financing opportunities in the defense sector.
- REGULATORY EASING: This would enable banks to cut compliance costs and expand operations, while tech and automotive companies could accelerate innovation and scale production more quickly in the U.S.
- AMERICA – FIRST POLICIES: Focus on U.S.-based growth would encourage tech companies to expand domestic R&D, automotive companies to increase U.S. EV and battery production, and offer banks new financing opportunities across high-growth American sectors.
STOCK PRICE REACTION: BASED ON STATISTICAL ANALYSIS DURING AFTER ELECTIONS IN 2016 AND ONE WEEK BEFORE 2024 ELECTIONS
|
Downside Potential1 |
Upside Potential2 |
|
-8.5% |
+20% |
1Calculation Downside Potential: Based on Average Weekly Price Volatility of all six stocks one week before 2024 Presidential Elections
2 Calculation Upside Potential: Based on Average Price Reaction of all six stock 6 month after 2016 Presidential Elections
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
TARGET LEVELS: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
|
Company |
Support |
Current Price ** |
Resistance |
|
J.P. Morgan |
$217 |
$237 |
$284 |
|
Morgan Stanley |
$118 |
$129 |
$155 |
|
Nvidia |
$135 |
$148 |
$178 |
|
Tesla |
$273 |
$298 |
$358 |
|
AMD |
$136 |
$149 |
$179 |
|
Boeing |
$138 |
$151 |
$181 |
- Note: Support and Resistance Levels have been calculated by using upside and downside potential figures. Therefore, for each stock resistance would be 20% higher, while support would be 8.5% lower.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
|
Total Potential Profit/Loss of the Stock Basket3 |
|
|
-$94,520 |
$222,400 |
|
-€87,752 |
€206,475 |
|
-£72,971 |
£171,696 |
|
-C$131,318 |
C$308,983 |
Data Source on Stock Returns and Volatility: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform;
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
3- Profit/Loss Calculation (**): Based on 1 lot (*) on each of the six stocks (6 lots), their current stock price and their upside and downside potential figure from this report
*1.00 lot is equivalent of 1 000 units
**Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT) 08/11/2024