Tesla (#TSLA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TESLA: THE COMPANY
- Tesla produces several Electric Vehicles (EV) including the Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Model S, and since recently, the Cybertruck. Tesla also delivers the Semi-Truck.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Tesla stock is part of both the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index and the S&P 500 (USA500) index.
- MARKET SHARE: Tesla is still the largest seller of pure battery-powered Electric Vehicles (EVs) in the world and an absolute leader in the US (taking up between 60%-70% market share).
TESLA: EVENTS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 29, AFTERMARKET): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT EXPECTED TO PRINT RECORD HIGH QUARTERLY REVENUES. The company is expected to print $27.33 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 8.5% from Q3’s $25.18 billion, and up around 8.6% from the same period last year ($25.16 billion). Tesla is expected to print $2.66 billion in net income, up around 20% from Q3’s $2.21 billion and up around 33.3% from the same period last year ($2 billion) (Source: Bloomberg).
- TESLA TO LAUNCH ITS AFFORDABLE “MODEL Q” IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2025. According to reports shared during a Deutsche Bank investor conference by Tesla’s Investor Relations head, Travis Axelrod, the company plans to release this entry-level electric vehicle in the first half of 2025.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
TESLA: HOW DOES THE STOCK PERFORM UNDER DONALD TRUMP AS PRESIDENT OF THE USA
- PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024: DONALD TRUMP WON HIS SECOND TERM AND TOOK OFFICE ON JANUARY 20, 2025. The Tesla stock is expected to rise in volatility as CEO Elon Musk has openly supported Donald Trump. Analysts have agreed that in case Donald Trump won, then companies owned by Elon Musk, including Tesla, could see some benefits.
- HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE: THE STOCK ROSE 43.97% DURING THE FIRST YEAR OF TRUMP’S FIRST PRESIDENTIAL TERM (JANUARY 20, 2017 – JANUARY 20, 2018). In addition, the stock rose 1643.51% during the entire first term of Trump between January 20, 2027 and January 20, 2021.
Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal; Meta Trader 4 Platform;
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
TESLA: NEWS
- TESLA’S “MODEL Y” IS THE BEST-SELLING VEHICLE IN CHINA FOR 2024. Tesla Model Y was the best-selling vehicle in China (the largest auto market in the world) selling 480,309 units for 2024.
TESLA: ANALYST OPINION
- MORGAN STANLEY RAISED ITS BULL-CASE PRICE TARGET ON TESLA TO $800. MORGAN STANLEY says that the “interest in AVs [autonomous vehicles] continues to rise” adding that, “While autos still matter”, the firm sees “embodied AI as the driver for upside to revised $800 bull case.” Morgan Stanley maintained its Overweight rating on Tesla stock while reiterating it as its “Top Pick.”
- PIPER SANDLER RAISED TESLA’S PRICE TARGET FROM $315 TO $500. Piper thinks investors are starting to appreciate Tesla’s potential in “real – world” AI.
- WEDBUSH DAN IVES RAISED ITS PRICE TARGET TO $515 A SHARE FROM $400 PREVIOUSLY. Bull case is $650 for 2025. According to them, A.I./autonomous segment is worth at least $1 trillion. The Trump White House would be a total game changer for the autonomous and A.I. story for Tesla and Musk over the coming years.
TESLA: RECENT PRICE ACTION
- TESLA STOCK HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH IN LATE 2024: Tesla hit an all-time high of $487.99 (December 18, 2024). The stock currently trades around $435 and if a full recovery to its recent all-time highs takes place, then it can offer an upside of around 12%. However, the stock can decline as well.
#TSLA, JANUARY 21, 2025
Current Price: 435
|
Tesla |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
800 |
|
|
650 |
|
|
500 |
|
|
380 |
|
|
350 |
|
|
320 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Tesla |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
365,000 |
215,000 |
65,000 |
-55,000 |
-85,000 |
-115,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
352,306 |
207,523 |
62,739 |
-53,087 |
-82,044 |
-111,001 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
297,932 |
175,494 |
53,056 |
-44,894 |
-69,382 |
-93,869 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
527,201 |
310,543 |
93,885 |
-79,441 |
-122,773 |
-166,104 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 14:10 (GMT) 21/01/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.