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Uber

Special Reports - 31/01/2023

31 January, 2023

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

UBER(#UBER) weekly special report based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY:

  • THE TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY IS CURRENTLY WORTH ~$11.5t: According to the most recent reports, the global technology industry is worth approximately $11.5t as of May 2022.

  • MARKET POTENTIAL: THE TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY IS EXPECTED TO GROW AT 10.3% PER YEAR UNTIL 2026: Analysts are forecasting that at the current rate of growth, the Global Technology industry is expected to reach $13.8trillion in value. This represents an industry growth of ~10.3% per year.

US TECHNOLOGY SECTOR:

  • THE US TECHNOLOGY SECTOR HAS SHOWN ROBUST GROWTH: The U.S technology sector has shown strong growth. The sector’s Market Cap grew from ~$6.0t to ~$10.0t. This represents a total growth of 66%.

  • SECTOR GROWTH TO CONTINUE: According to analysts, the technology sector earnings are expected to grow. Currently, average sector earnings sit at ~$358.6b and are forecasted to grow on average 14% per year over the next three years according to analysts.

UBER (ANALYSIS AND EVENTS)

  • THE COMPANY: Uber technologies provide ride hailing services. However, the company also develops applications for road transportation, navigation, ride sharing and payment solutions. It also provides food, meal and grocery delivery services.

  • EVENT: Q4 2022 EARNINGS (CONFIRMED FEBRUARY 8, 2023) UBER EXPECTED TO REPORT LARGEST EVER ANNUAL REVENUE IN THE COMPANY’S HISTORY ($31.69b): Uber is expected to report its Q4 2022 earnings report on Feb 8, 2022. Revenue has beaten 7 out of the last 8 reports. Since 2019, Uber has grown its revenue from $13B to $17.5B in 2021, with 2022 annual revenue is set to print $31.69B. This would represent a growth of 81% year-on-year, and a 143% growth on its 2019 annual revenue.

  • UBER HAS GROWN ITS MONTHLY USER BASE FROM 68 MILLION IN 2017 TO 122 MILLION IN 2022: Uber has grown its monthly active users significantly, growing from 68 million in 2017 to 122 million in 2022 according to reports. This represents a growth of 79.4%, with the trend expected to continue.

  • AS OF Q3 2022, UBER HAD ~71% OF ALL RIDESHARE SALES IN THE UNITED STATES: According to statistics, Uber had about 71% of rideshare sales in the United States, with only Lyft competing seriously having 29%.

  • THE GLOBAL RIDE SHARE MARKET IS EXPECTED TO GROW FROM $85.8B TO $185.1B BY 2026: The ride share market is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 16.6%, to $185.1B by 2026.

  • ANALYST OPINION: Morningstar’s price target is $73. MorganStanley is targeting $54.00. Citi is targeting $48. The Consensus Bloomberg price target is at $45.81.

  • STOCK PRICE ACTION: THE STOCK HAS HAD A DOWNWARD CORRECTION OF AROUND 68.93% FROM IT'S ALL- TIME HIGH OF $64.05. The stock has fallen to its lowest rate since June, 2022, to $19.90 (June 30, 2022). Uber was last trading at around $29 and If a full recovery follows recent all- time highs, the stock could see an upside of around ~120%. However, it could go lower.

Uber, January 31, 2023
Current Price: 29.00

Uber

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

50.00

Resistance 2

42.00

Resistance 1

36.00

Support 1

24.00

Support 2

20.00

Support 3

18.00

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

Uber

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

21,000.00

13,000.00

7,000.00

-5,000.00

-9,000.00

-11,000.00

Profit or loss in €2

19,406.89

12,013.79

6,468.96

-4,620.69

-8,317.24

-10,165.51

Profit or loss in £2

17,045.45

10,551.95

5,681.82

-4,058.44

-7,305.19

-8,928.57

Profit or loss in C$2

28,691.46

17,761.38

9,563.82

-6,831.30

-12,296.34

-15,028.86

  1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units

  2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:45(GMT) 31/01/2023

Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager regarding their use.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one

  • Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager for more detail

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