US PRESIDENT- ELECT DONALD TRUMP INAUGURATION
- MARKET REACTION AFTER TRUMP’S INAUGURATION IN 2017 -
OVERVIEW: Donald Trump was elected the 47th President of the USA on November 5, 2024. He won against the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. After the election results, however, Donald Trump did not come to power immediately, rather he needed to wait until after the Inauguration.
INAUGURATION: According to USA.GOV, Inauguration Day is the day when the president-elect and vice-president-elect are sworn in and take office. The inauguration ceremony takes place at the U.S. Capitol building in Washington, DC.
WHEN: President- Elect Donald Trump will be inaugurated on January 20, 2025. That is when he officially takes office and after that he starts implementing his promises. He will stay in office until January 20, 2029.
PRESIDENT TRUMP’S PROMISES:
- LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: CORPORATE TAXES TO BE CUT FROM THE CURRENT 21% TO 15%.
- DEREGULATION: TRUMP TO ELIMINATE 10 REGULATIONS IN THE BANKING INDUSTRY. This will offer a more attractive environment for banks. He also promised to overhaul key regulatory bodies.
- FOREIGN POLICY: UKRAINE- RUSSIA CONFLICT. During the campaign, Trump repeatedly said he could end the war between Russia and Ukraine “in a day”.
WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF: Trump’s first term (January 2017 – January 2021)
During his first term, President Trump made the following changes:
- LOWER CORPORATE TAXES: He cut taxes in his first term from 35% to the current 21%.
- DEREGULATION: TRUMP ELIMINATED CERTAIN REGULATIONS IN THE BANKING INDUSTRY. According to CNBC, President Donald Trump signed the biggest rollback of bank regulations since the global financial crisis into law.
US STOCK MARKET REACTION AFTER TRUMP’S INAUGURATION ON JANUARY 20, 2017:
- USA100: The index rose 163.32% during Trump’s first term (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
- USA500: The index rose 70.04% during Trump’s first term (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
- USA30: The index rose 58.15% during Trump’s first term (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2021)
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#USA100, January 2, 2025
Current Price: 21,300
USA100 |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
22,450 |
|
22,150 |
|
22,800 |
|
20,850 |
|
20,650 |
|
20,500 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
USA100 |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
11,500 |
8,500 |
5,000 |
-4,500 |
-6,500 |
-8,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
11,110 |
8,212 |
4,830 |
-4,347 |
-6,279 |
-7,728 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
9,214 |
6,811 |
4,006 |
-3,606 |
-5,208 |
-6,410 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
16,576 |
12,252 |
7,207 |
-6,486 |
-9,369 |
-11,531 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
#USA500, January 2, 2025
Current Price: 5,950
USA500 |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
6,800 |
|
6,500 |
|
6,160 |
|
5,750 |
|
5,650 |
|
5,500 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
USA500 |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
8,500 |
5,500 |
2,100 |
-2,000 |
-3,000 |
-4,500 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
8,212 |
5,313 |
2,029 |
-1,932 |
-2,898 |
-4,347 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
6,811 |
4,407 |
1,683 |
-1,603 |
-2,404 |
-3,606 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
12,252 |
7,928 |
3,027 |
-2,883 |
-4,324 |
-6,486 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
#USA30, January 2, 2025
Current Price:43,000
USA30 |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
46,000 |
|
45,000 |
|
44,000 |
|
42,100 |
|
41,700 |
|
41,500 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
USA30 |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
30,000 |
20,000 |
10,000 |
-9,000 |
-13,000 |
-15,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
28,982 |
19,321 |
9,661 |
-8,695 |
-12,559 |
-14,491 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
24,038 |
16,025 |
8,013 |
-7,211 |
-10,416 |
-12,019 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
43,242 |
28,828 |
14,414 |
-12,973 |
-18,738 |
-21,621 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:20 (GMT) 02/01/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.