USA100

USA100 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

USA100 INDEX:

• WHAT IS A STOCK INDEX: According to Investopedia.com, a stock index measures the price performance of a basket (group) of stocks using a standardized methodology. The NASDAQ 100 Index is one of the world's best-known indexes and one of the most commonly used benchmarks for the stock market.
• COMPONENTS: USA100 includes 100 companies, many of them dealing with tech and A.I., such as Apple, Google, ARM, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, etc.

GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP OFFERS FLEXIBILITY WITH TARIFFS

• RECIPROCAL TARIFF PLAN LESS SEVERE THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT: According to the CNBC, President Donald Trump said there will be flexibility on his reciprocal tariff plan.
• TARIFFS ON FOREIGN CARS EFFECTIVE APRIL 3: President Donald Trump will announce a new wave of reciprocal tariffs on April 2, including measures targeting foreign carmakers. These tariffs, effective April 3, are expected to hurt international automakers, especially in Europe and Asia.
• TESLA LIKELY TO BENEFIT: As a U.S.-based EV manufacturer, Tesla could benefit from these protectionist policies. Its domestic production and Trump’s good relationship with Elon Musk may offer it a competitive edge, indirectly supporting the USA100.

BIG TECH’S MASSIVE A.I. SPENDING IN 2025 AND BEYOND

• Major USA100 companies plan to invest over billions of dollars in capital expenditures this year and beyond, with a strong focus on A.I. and cloud infrastructure. Apple leads with an estimated $500 billion in investments, followed by Amazon ($120B), TSMC ($100B), Microsoft ($85B), Alphabet ($80B), and Meta ($65B). These investments are expected to further strengthen A.I. development, benefiting semiconductor and cloud-based service providers.

US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND HIS IMPACT ON THE US STOCK MARKET:

• STATISTICS (USA 100 INDEX DURING TRUMP’S FIRST TERM (2017 – 2021)): USA100 INDEX ROSE 37.05% WITHIN THE FIRST 12 MONTHS FOLLOWING DONALD TRUMP'S INAUGURATION AS 45TH U.S. PRESIDENT (January 20, 2017 – January 20, 2018). In addition, the USA100 index rose 163.32% during the entire first term of Donald Trump’s service as 45^th President of the USA.

Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

US FEDERAL RESERVE HAS BEGUN YET ANOTHER INTEREST RATE CUT CYCLE:

• BREAKING (MARCH 19): FED SIGNALS MORE RATE CUTS AHEAD, BOOSTING TECH SENTIMENT. The US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.50%. However, Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed’s projection of two rate cuts in 2025, and signaled that inflation is gradually coming under control.
• NEXT FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: May 7, 2025. Markets have recently raised their expectations for three interest rate cuts in 2025, which could eventually bring rates down to 3.75% from the current 4.5% (Source: CMEGROUP.COM).

PRICE ACTION:

• USA100 HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST PRICE IN SIX MONTHS (19,142.50). The index has recently retreated from its all-time high of 22,448.90, hitting its lowest rate in 6 months on March 11, 2025 (19,142.50).
• USA100 INDEX HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 22,448.90 (DECEMBER 16, 2024). The index has traded around 19,200 and if a full recovery takes place, USA100 could rise around 17%. Although, the index could decline in price as well.

USA100, March 31, 2025
Current Price: 19,200

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:35 (GMT) 31/03/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

• You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
• Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.