USD/JPY Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS:
- TRADE WAR: JAPANESE YEN RISES MORE THAN 5% ON SAFE- HAVEN DEMAND. The potential implementation of future tariffs by Trump, coupled with uncertainty regarding geopolitical uncertainties boosted demand for safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen. Since the moment Trump announced tariffs (February 1) on China, Mexico and Canada, the Japanese Yen appreciated by around 5.5% against the US dollar.
CENTRAL BANKS:
- WEDNESDAY, MARCH 19 AT 03:00 GMT: BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) INTEREST RATE DECISION. On January 23, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates from 0.25% to 0.50%, marking the highest level in 15 years. Rising inflationary pressure in Japan increases the likelihood of a rate hike in March or April. Furthermore, some economists believe that the Bank of Japan will raise rates to 1% by the end of 2025.
- WEDNESDAY, MARCH 19 AT 18:00 GMT: FED INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5% in March, but it is expected to cut rates to 4.00% by the end of 2025.
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, MARCH 7, AT 13:30 GMT: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (FEBRUARY): Data for January missed estimates for 169,000 as actual number came in lower, at 143,000. Unemployment rate, however, beat expectations in January (4% vs. 4.1% expected).
- WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12, at 12:30 GMT: U.S INFLATION (CPI) (FEBRUARY): The U.S is scheduled to report its CPI figure for the month of February. The CPI inflation for January came out at 3%, up from the 2.9% in December.
USDJPY, MARCH 6, 2025
Current Price: 148.00
|
USD/JPY |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
151.00 |
|
|
150.50 |
|
|
150.00 |
|
|
146.00 |
|
|
144.00 |
|
|
142.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USD/JPY |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-2,029 |
-1,691 |
-1,353 |
1,353 |
2,705 |
4,058 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-1,878 |
-1,565 |
-1,252 |
1,252 |
2,504 |
3,757 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-1,575 |
-1,313 |
-1,050 |
1,050 |
2,100 |
3,151 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-2,911 |
-2,426 |
-1,941 |
1,941 |
3,882 |
5,823 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:20 (GMT) 06/03/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.