Low Float Stocks: Exploring Scarcity and Volatility
What are low-float stocks, and how do scarcity and volatility affect them? Find out below.
Published May 23, 2024.
Low-float stocks are those that have a small number of shares available for public trading. This can lead to higher market volatility due to the limited supply of shares (the scarcity effect), which can result in larger price swings. So while low-float stocks might offer potential returns, they also come with high risk.
Let's explore how low float, scarcity, and volatility are connected, and take a closer look at the risks that follow.
Note: Fortrade offers the ability to trade the price changes of instruments with CFDs and NOT to buy/sell ownership of instruments themselves. All the information in this blog is purely educational and should NOT be considered advice.
What Are Low Float Stocks?
Low-float stocks are a small number of shares that are publicly available from the overall supply of shares.
The float, often expressed as a percentage of overall shares, typically constitutes 10% to 25% of the share supply for low-float stocks. In contrast, high-float stocks have a larger percentage of total shares available for public trading.
In terms of quantity, a low float generally ranges between 10 million and 20 million shares.
The limited availability of shares can make low-float stocks challenging to buy or sell, potentially leading to significant price fluctuations over a short period.
Bid-Ask Spread on Low Float Stocks
The bid-ask spread is an important concept in the context of low-float stocks because it directly impacts the trading of these stocks. It's the difference between the purchase and sale price a brokerage would offer, and it tends to be wider for low-float stocks compared to regular shares. This is due to the associated risks.
For example, PrimeEnergy Resources, an independent oil and gas exploration firm, had a $3 spread on shares valued at around $65. In contrast, the spreads on regular and high-float stocks are often no more than a few cents.
The Scarcity Effect and Volatility
Due to a very limited number of low-float stocks, trading is driven by a sense of exclusivity and fear of missing out. These produce a scarcity effect, or vying for stocks when demand is greater than supply.
Since many traders are trying to get their hands on some of the limited shares, trading volumes are increasing significantly. Traders, therefore, find themselves trading in a market where the share price can and does change rapidly.
The exaggerated price movement and volatility make decisions more challenging than with high-float shares. In such an environment, risk exposure skyrockets.
Low-Float Stocks Volatility Example
Low-float stocks of Data Storage Solutions are a good example of price volatility.
After averaging 1.4 million shares traded daily for six months, trading skyrocketed to 6.8 million shares on July 6, 2022. This caused a 42% price swing between $5.80 and $8.24 before closing at $7.29.
The following day, trading opened at $12.60 and closed at $9.68, with more than 48 million shares traded. This means that the total float of 4.2 million shares was traded around 12 times in a single day.
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Note: Fortrade offers the ability to trade the price changes of instruments with CFDs and NOT to buy/sell ownership of instruments themselves. All the information in this blog is purely educational and should NOT be considered advice.
Risk Considerations
A limited number of shares and high trading volumes cause fast shifts in the stock market. Even the smallest trades can lead to major changes in the stock price, so forecasting price movements becomes very difficult.
The rapidly shifting market dynamics are among the greatest risks in trading low-float stocks.
Additionally, low-float stocks come with relatively low liquidity, so bid-ask spreads expand more.
All of the above ultimately leads to higher transaction costs for investors as brokerages look to mitigate risks.
Market Manipulation and Risk Management
Besides inherent risks, low-float stocks are often targets for market manipulation, such as pump-and-dump schemes.
A pump-and-dump scheme occurs when a share price is artificially inflated and then quickly sold off to tank the price.
To manage these risks and exposure to market manipulation when trading in low-float stocks, investors usually maintain a diverse portfolio. Diversification spreads the risk across several stocks.
In addition to diversifying, any investor should define sensible stop-loss orders to manage losses.
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Low Float Phenomena
Low-float shares are a highly volatile investment vehicle. The low number of shares provokes the scarcity effect, so the supply and demand oscillate wildly, and potentially lead to volatile price action.
Low-float stocks can be a compelling short-term addition to a broad and diverse investment strategy. In these scenarios, stop-loss orders on the investments could help.
You should do due diligence before committing to this high-risk, potentially rewarding investment strategy. If you choose to invest in low-float stocks, it's best to proceed with caution and lots of research. All the information in this blog is purely educational and should NOT be considered advice.